Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles - NFL Prediction (2026-09-13)
Win probabilities
Washington Commanders Philadelphia EaglesWin probability is based on our predictive model.
Predicted score
Fair odds (decimal)
Washington Commanders Philadelphia EaglesLower decimal odds indicate higher implied value.
Canadian Moneyline Odds
Anytime Touchdown Probability
Washington Commanders- Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB38.4%
- Terry McLaurin WR27.7%
- Rachaad White RB27.1%
- Jayden Daniels QB24.6%
- Stefon Diggs WR21.7%
- Chig Okonkwo TE17.2%
- Treylon Burks WR9.5%
- Antonio Williams WR8.9%
- Kaytron Allen RB7.9%
- Jaylin Lane WR6.8%
- John Bates TE5.4%
- Ben Sinnott TE3.2%
Philadelphia Eagles- Saquon Barkley RB48.2%
- Jalen Hurts QB40.5%
- DeVonta Smith WR32.7%
- Dallas Goedert TE28.4%
- Dontayvion Wicks WR22.2%
- Tank Bigsby RB18.4%
- Makai Lemon WR17.0%
- Hollywood Brown WR12.2%
- Will Shipley RB5.7%
- Johnny Mundt TE5.0%
- Eli Stowers TE4.2%
- Darius Cooper WR4.0%
First Touchdown Probability
Washington Commanders- Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB8.9%
- Terry McLaurin WR6.0%
- Rachaad White RB5.8%
- Jayden Daniels QB5.2%
- Stefon Diggs WR4.5%
- Chig Okonkwo TE3.5%
- Treylon Burks WR1.8%
- Antonio Williams WR1.7%
- Kaytron Allen RB1.5%
- Jaylin Lane WR1.3%
- John Bates TE1.0%
- Ben Sinnott TE0.6%
Philadelphia Eagles- Saquon Barkley RB11.5%
- Jalen Hurts QB9.1%
- DeVonta Smith WR6.9%
- Dallas Goedert TE5.8%
- Dontayvion Wicks WR4.4%
- Tank Bigsby RB3.6%
- Makai Lemon WR3.3%
- Hollywood Brown WR2.3%
- Will Shipley RB1.0%
- Johnny Mundt TE0.9%
- Eli Stowers TE0.7%
- Darius Cooper WR0.7%
Projected Washington Commanders Boxscore
Projected Philadelphia Eagles Boxscore
Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles: Game Breakdown
Matchup details
vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Betting insights
favored at -4.58
Game prediction summary
Washington Commanders and Philadelphia Eagles meet on loading..., loading..., with the game listed for Lincoln Financial Field. Based on the current projection, Philadelphia Eagles has a clear edge at 66%.
Our model projects Washington Commanders 20 - 24 Philadelphia Eagles. That means the score projection points to a one-score game, rather than a simple yes-or-no favourite call. Philadelphia Eagles carries the stronger win probability, but the projected score still gives useful context for how close the matchup may be.
From a betting angle, the current projection has the spread at Philadelphia Eagles -4.58, while the total sits around 43.70. That total points toward a fairly balanced scoring expectation.
Player props also add another layer: Saquon Barkley of Philadelphia Eagles is one of the main touchdown names to watch at 48.2%. The projected box score also highlights Saquon Barkley for 76 projected rushing yards.
Venue information
Lincoln Financial Field, often called The Linc, is the home of the Philadelphia Eagles and Temple football. It is known for strong sightlines, wide concourses, and an intense Eagles game-day atmosphere.
Touchdown Scorer Predictions
For Anytime Touchdown Scorer bets, the top option from Washington Commanders is Jacory Croskey-Merritt (the player with the highest anytime touchdown probability on the team at 38.4%). He is followed by Terry McLaurin, who also poses a strong scoring threat with a 27.7% chance.
On the Philadelphia Eagles side, Saquon Barkley leads with the highest probability at 48.2% , while Jalen Hurts follows closely at 40.5% .
For First Touchdown Scorer odds, our data again puts Jacory Croskey-Merritt (team-high 8.9% probability) as the most likely to score first for Washington Commanders. Over on the Philadelphia Eagles side, Saquon Barkley ranks highest with a 11.5% chance to be the first touchdown scorer in the game.
Box Score Predictions
When box score data is available, we spotlight each team's leaders by projection. For Washington Commanders, Jacory Croskey-Merritt (highest projected rusher on Washington Commanders) is forecast for 43 rushing yards and 0.38 TDs , while Terry McLaurin (highest projected receiver on Washington Commanders) is pegged for 56 receiving yards and 0.28 TDs .
On Philadelphia Eagles, Saquon Barkley (highest projected rusher on Philadelphia Eagles) leads the ground game with 76 yards and 0.48 TDs , and DeVonta Smith (highest projected receiver on Philadelphia Eagles) tops the passing attack with 70 yards and 0.33 TDs .
All stat lines are simulation-driven and update as new information becomes available.
New to NFL?
Official NFL resourcesIf you are new to American football, these official NFL resources are a good place to learn the basics, understand common terms, and check the rules behind key game situations.
NFL Football Operations — Rookie’s Guide
A good first stop for a complete NFL beginner. It explains the basic structure of the game and points readers toward other official learning pages, including rules, formations, terms, and video explanations.
2NFL Football Operations — Learn the Game
The main official NFL learning hub. It is useful for understanding how football works beyond just scores, including rules, player positions, formations, game terms, officiating, and the technology used in the league.
3Official NFL Rulebook
This is the official source for NFL playing rules. It is not the easiest place for a total beginner to start, but it is the best reference when someone wants to check the exact wording of a rule.
4NFL Video Rulebook
A more beginner-friendly way to understand penalties and rule situations. It uses video examples, which makes confusing calls much easier to understand than reading the full rulebook alone.
5NFL Terms Glossary
A useful reference for common NFL words and phrases. It helps new fans understand terms like down, snap, punt, blitz, holding, safety, formation, and many other words commentators use during games.
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