Philadelphia Eagles vs Washington Commanders - NFL Prediction (2026-11-02)
Win probabilities
Philadelphia Eagles Washington CommandersWin probability is based on our predictive model.
Predicted score
Fair odds (decimal)
Philadelphia Eagles Washington CommandersLower decimal odds indicate higher implied value.
Canadian Moneyline Odds
Anytime Touchdown Probability
Philadelphia Eagles- Saquon Barkley RB33.8%
- Dallas Goedert TE29.1%
- Makai Lemon WR20.1%
- Darius Cooper WR19.8%
- Elijah Mitchell RB13.2%
- Hollywood Brown WR13.0%
- Jaydon Blue RB8.5%
- Tanner McKee QB6.2%
- Elijah Moore WR6.1%
- Eli Stowers TE4.2%
- Grant Calcaterra TE3.6%
- Johnny Mundt TE3.1%
Washington Commanders- Rachaad White RB37.5%
- Stefon Diggs WR35.3%
- Jayden Daniels QB31.6%
- Antonio Williams WR23.6%
- Chig Okonkwo TE22.6%
- Austin Ekeler RB18.0%
- Treylon Burks WR18.0%
- Jeremy McNichols RB16.6%
- Dyami Brown WR9.4%
- John Bates TE5.7%
- Ben Sinnott TE4.7%
- Colson Yankoff TE3.8%
- Luke McCaffrey WR3.2%
First Touchdown Probability
Philadelphia Eagles- Saquon Barkley RB8.3%
- Dallas Goedert TE6.9%
- Makai Lemon WR4.5%
- Darius Cooper WR4.4%
- Elijah Mitchell RB2.8%
- Hollywood Brown WR2.8%
- Jaydon Blue RB1.8%
- Tanner McKee QB1.3%
- Elijah Moore WR1.3%
- Eli Stowers TE0.9%
- Grant Calcaterra TE0.7%
- Johnny Mundt TE0.6%
Washington Commanders- Rachaad White RB9.8%
- Stefon Diggs WR9.1%
- Jayden Daniels QB7.9%
- Antonio Williams WR5.6%
- Chig Okonkwo TE5.3%
- Austin Ekeler RB4.1%
- Treylon Burks WR4.1%
- Jeremy McNichols RB3.8%
- Dyami Brown WR2.0%
- John Bates TE1.2%
- Ben Sinnott TE1.0%
- Colson Yankoff TE0.8%
- Luke McCaffrey WR0.7%
Projected Philadelphia Eagles Boxscore
Projected Washington Commanders Boxscore
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Washington Commanders: Game Breakdown
Matchup details
vs. Washington Commanders
Betting insights
favored at -6.40
Game prediction summary
Philadelphia Eagles and Washington Commanders meet on loading..., loading..., with the game listed for Northwest Stadium. Based on the current projection, Washington Commanders is a strong favourite at 71%.
Our model projects Philadelphia Eagles 17 - 23 Washington Commanders. That means the score projection points to a one-score game, rather than a simple yes-or-no favourite call. Washington Commanders carries the stronger win probability, but the projected score still gives useful context for how close the matchup may be.
From a betting angle, the current projection has the spread at Washington Commanders -6.40, while the total sits around 40.02. That total points toward a lower-scoring, more defence-led projection.
Player props also add another layer: Rachaad White of Washington Commanders is one of the main touchdown names to watch at 37.5%. The projected box score also highlights Saquon Barkley for 57 projected rushing yards.
Venue information
Northwest Stadium is the Washington Commanders’ home in Landover, Maryland. Formerly known as FedExField, it remains the team’s main venue while future stadium plans develop.
Touchdown Scorer Predictions
For Anytime Touchdown Scorer bets, the top option from Philadelphia Eagles is Saquon Barkley (the player with the highest anytime touchdown probability on the team at 33.8%). He is followed by Dallas Goedert, who also poses a strong scoring threat with a 29.1% chance.
On the Washington Commanders side, Rachaad White leads with the highest probability at 37.5% , while Stefon Diggs follows closely at 35.3% .
For First Touchdown Scorer odds, our data again puts Saquon Barkley (team-high 8.3% probability) as the most likely to score first for Philadelphia Eagles. Over on the Washington Commanders side, Rachaad White ranks highest with a 9.8% chance to be the first touchdown scorer in the game.
Box Score Predictions
When box score data is available, we spotlight each team's leaders by projection. For Philadelphia Eagles, Saquon Barkley (highest projected rusher on Philadelphia Eagles) is forecast for 57 rushing yards and 0.34 TDs , while Makai Lemon (highest projected receiver on Philadelphia Eagles) is pegged for 48 receiving yards and 0.20 TDs .
On Washington Commanders, Rachaad White (highest projected rusher on Washington Commanders) leads the ground game with 47 yards and 0.38 TDs , and Stefon Diggs (highest projected receiver on Washington Commanders) tops the passing attack with 48 yards and 0.35 TDs .
All stat lines are simulation-driven and update as new information becomes available.
New to NFL?
Official NFL resourcesIf you are new to American football, these official NFL resources are a good place to learn the basics, understand common terms, and check the rules behind key game situations.
NFL Football Operations — Rookie’s Guide
A good first stop for a complete NFL beginner. It explains the basic structure of the game and points readers toward other official learning pages, including rules, formations, terms, and video explanations.
2NFL Football Operations — Learn the Game
The main official NFL learning hub. It is useful for understanding how football works beyond just scores, including rules, player positions, formations, game terms, officiating, and the technology used in the league.
3Official NFL Rulebook
This is the official source for NFL playing rules. It is not the easiest place for a total beginner to start, but it is the best reference when someone wants to check the exact wording of a rule.
4NFL Video Rulebook
A more beginner-friendly way to understand penalties and rule situations. It uses video examples, which makes confusing calls much easier to understand than reading the full rulebook alone.
5NFL Terms Glossary
A useful reference for common NFL words and phrases. It helps new fans understand terms like down, snap, punt, blitz, holding, safety, formation, and many other words commentators use during games.
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