Philadelphia Eagles vs Chicago Bears - NFL Prediction (2026-09-29)
Win probabilities
Win probability is based on our predictive model.
Predicted score
Fair odds (decimal)
Lower decimal odds indicate higher implied value.
Canadian Moneyline Odds
Anytime Touchdown Probability
- Saquon Barkley RB54.3%
- Jalen Hurts QB46.3%
- DeVonta Smith WR35.9%
- Dallas Goedert TE34.3%
- Dontayvion Wicks WR26.2%
- Makai Lemon WR18.4%
- Tank Bigsby RB16.5%
- Will Shipley RB11.1%
- Hollywood Brown WR7.4%
- Johnny Mundt TE4.9%
- Darius Cooper WR1.6%
- Britain Covey WR0.5%
- D'Andre Swift RB45.3%
- Colston Loveland TE33.1%
- Rome Odunze WR29.7%
- Kyle Monangai RB23.9%
- Luther Burden WR23.4%
- Caleb Williams QB13.4%
- Kalif Raymond WR12.6%
- Cole Kmet TE10.4%
- Jahdae Walker WR6.2%
- Sam Roush TE4.5%
- Zavion Thomas WR2.4%
- Roschon Johnson RB1.6%
First Touchdown Probability
- Saquon Barkley RB11.8%
- Jalen Hurts QB9.3%
- DeVonta Smith WR6.7%
- Dallas Goedert TE6.3%
- Dontayvion Wicks WR4.6%
- Makai Lemon WR3.1%
- Tank Bigsby RB2.7%
- Will Shipley RB1.8%
- Hollywood Brown WR1.2%
- Johnny Mundt TE0.8%
- Darius Cooper WR0.2%
- Britain Covey WR0.1%
- D'Andre Swift RB10.3%
- Colston Loveland TE6.9%
- Rome Odunze WR6.0%
- Kyle Monangai RB4.7%
- Luther Burden WR4.6%
- Caleb Williams QB2.5%
- Kalif Raymond WR2.3%
- Cole Kmet TE1.9%
- Jahdae Walker WR1.1%
- Sam Roush TE0.8%
- Zavion Thomas WR0.4%
- Roschon Johnson RB0.3%
Projected Philadelphia Eagles Boxscore
Projected Chicago Bears Boxscore
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Chicago Bears: Game Breakdown
Matchup details
vs. Chicago Bears
Betting insights
favored at -3.20
Game prediction summary
Philadelphia Eagles and Chicago Bears meet on loading..., loading..., with the game listed for Soldier Field. Based on the current projection, Philadelphia Eagles has a clear edge at 62%.
Our model projects Philadelphia Eagles 24 - 20 Chicago Bears. That means the score projection points to a one-score game, rather than a simple yes-or-no favourite call. Philadelphia Eagles carries the stronger win probability, but the projected score still gives useful context for how close the matchup may be.
From a betting angle, the current projection has the spread at Philadelphia Eagles -3.20, while the total sits around 44.06. That total points toward a fairly balanced scoring expectation.
Player props also add another layer: Saquon Barkley of Philadelphia Eagles is one of the main touchdown names to watch at 54.3%. The projected box score also highlights D'Andre Swift for 70 projected rushing yards.

Venue information
Soldier Field is the Chicago Bears’ lakefront home and one of the most historic stadiums in American football. Its classic colonnades still shape its identity despite major renovations.
Touchdown Scorer Predictions
For Anytime Touchdown Scorer bets, the top option from Philadelphia Eagles is Saquon Barkley (the player with the highest anytime touchdown probability on the team at 54.3%). He is followed by Jalen Hurts, who also poses a strong scoring threat with a 46.3% chance.
On the Chicago Bears side, D'Andre Swift leads with the highest probability at 45.3% , while Colston Loveland follows closely at 33.1% .
For First Touchdown Scorer odds, our data again puts Saquon Barkley (team-high 11.8% probability) as the most likely to score first for Philadelphia Eagles. Over on the Chicago Bears side, D'Andre Swift ranks highest with a 10.3% chance to be the first touchdown scorer in the game.
Box Score Predictions
When box score data is available, we spotlight each team's leaders by projection. For Philadelphia Eagles, Saquon Barkley (highest projected rusher on Philadelphia Eagles) is forecast for 68 rushing yards and 0.54 TDs , while DeVonta Smith (highest projected receiver on Philadelphia Eagles) is pegged for 55 receiving yards and 0.36 TDs .
On Chicago Bears, D'Andre Swift (highest projected rusher on Chicago Bears) leads the ground game with 70 yards and 0.45 TDs , and Colston Loveland (highest projected receiver on Chicago Bears) tops the passing attack with 43 yards and 0.33 TDs .
All stat lines are simulation-driven and update as new information becomes available.
New to NFL?
Official NFL resourcesIf you are new to American football, these official NFL resources are a good place to learn the basics, understand common terms, and check the rules behind key game situations.
NFL Football Operations — Rookie’s Guide
A good first stop for a complete NFL beginner. It explains the basic structure of the game and points readers toward other official learning pages, including rules, formations, terms, and video explanations.
2NFL Football Operations — Learn the Game
The main official NFL learning hub. It is useful for understanding how football works beyond just scores, including rules, player positions, formations, game terms, officiating, and the technology used in the league.
3Official NFL Rulebook
This is the official source for NFL playing rules. It is not the easiest place for a total beginner to start, but it is the best reference when someone wants to check the exact wording of a rule.
4NFL Video Rulebook
A more beginner-friendly way to understand penalties and rule situations. It uses video examples, which makes confusing calls much easier to understand than reading the full rulebook alone.
5NFL Terms Glossary
A useful reference for common NFL words and phrases. It helps new fans understand terms like down, snap, punt, blitz, holding, safety, formation, and many other words commentators use during games.
Responsible betting
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