New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks - NFL Prediction (2026-09-10)
Win probabilities
New England Patriots Seattle SeahawksWin probability is based on our predictive model.
Predicted score
Fair odds (decimal)
New England Patriots Seattle SeahawksLower decimal odds indicate higher implied value.
Canadian Moneyline Odds
Anytime Touchdown Probability
New England Patriots- Rhamondre Stevenson RB41.5%
- A.J. Brown WR37.2%
- TreVeyon Henderson RB28.1%
- Romeo Doubs WR24.0%
- Hunter Henry TE23.7%
- Drake Maye QB16.4%
- DeMario Douglas WR12.6%
- Mack Hollins WR9.2%
- Eli Raridon TE8.9%
- Corey Kiner RB6.6%
- Kyle Williams WR4.1%
- Efton Chism WR3.0%
Seattle Seahawks- Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR39.8%
- Jadarian Price RB36.5%
- George Holani RB28.3%
- AJ Barner TE25.1%
- Cooper Kupp WR24.1%
- Rashid Shaheed WR22.9%
- Emanuel Wilson RB12.0%
- Elijah Arroyo TE10.8%
- Tory Horton WR10.6%
- Sam Darnold QB8.8%
- Eric Saubert TE2.8%
First Touchdown Probability
New England Patriots- Rhamondre Stevenson RB8.9%
- A.J. Brown WR7.7%
- TreVeyon Henderson RB5.5%
- Romeo Doubs WR4.5%
- Hunter Henry TE4.5%
- Drake Maye QB3.0%
- DeMario Douglas WR2.2%
- Mack Hollins WR1.6%
- Eli Raridon TE1.5%
- Corey Kiner RB1.1%
- Kyle Williams WR0.7%
- Efton Chism WR0.5%
Seattle Seahawks- Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR9.7%
- Jadarian Price RB8.7%
- George Holani RB6.4%
- AJ Barner TE5.6%
- Cooper Kupp WR5.3%
- Rashid Shaheed WR5.0%
- Emanuel Wilson RB2.5%
- Elijah Arroyo TE2.2%
- Tory Horton WR2.2%
- Sam Darnold QB1.8%
- Eric Saubert TE0.6%
Projected New England Patriots Boxscore
Projected Seattle Seahawks Boxscore
New England Patriots vs. Seattle Seahawks: Game Breakdown
Matchup details
vs. Seattle Seahawks
Betting insights
favored at -3.32
Game prediction summary
New England Patriots and Seattle Seahawks meet on loading..., loading..., with the game listed for Lumen Field. Based on the current projection, Seattle Seahawks has a clear edge at 62%.
Our model projects New England Patriots 21 - 24 Seattle Seahawks. That means the score projection points to a field-goal type game, rather than a simple yes-or-no favourite call. Seattle Seahawks carries the stronger win probability, but the projected score still gives useful context for how close the matchup may be.
From a betting angle, the current projection has the spread at Seattle Seahawks -3.32, while the total sits around 44.94. That total points toward a fairly balanced scoring expectation.
Player props also add another layer: Rhamondre Stevenson of New England Patriots is one of the main touchdown names to watch at 41.5%. The projected box score also highlights Jaxon Smith-Njigba for 85 projected receiving yards.
Venue information
Lumen Field is the Seattle home of the Seahawks and Sounders, built as an open-air venue with strong sightlines for both NFL and soccer. One of its standout features is the roof design, which protects a large share of seats while keeping the stadium exposed to Seattle’s atmosphere.
Touchdown Scorer Predictions
For Anytime Touchdown Scorer bets, the top option from New England Patriots is Rhamondre Stevenson (the player with the highest anytime touchdown probability on the team at 41.5%). He is followed by A.J. Brown, who also poses a strong scoring threat with a 37.2% chance.
On the Seattle Seahawks side, Jaxon Smith-Njigba leads with the highest probability at 39.8% , while Jadarian Price follows closely at 36.5% .
For First Touchdown Scorer odds, our data again puts Rhamondre Stevenson (team-high 8.9% probability) as the most likely to score first for New England Patriots. Over on the Seattle Seahawks side, Jaxon Smith-Njigba ranks highest with a 9.7% chance to be the first touchdown scorer in the game.
Box Score Predictions
When box score data is available, we spotlight each team's leaders by projection. For New England Patriots, Rhamondre Stevenson (highest projected rusher on New England Patriots) is forecast for 58 rushing yards and 0.42 TDs , while A.J. Brown (highest projected receiver on New England Patriots) is pegged for 65 receiving yards and 0.37 TDs .
On Seattle Seahawks, Jadarian Price (highest projected rusher on Seattle Seahawks) leads the ground game with 55 yards and 0.37 TDs , and Jaxon Smith-Njigba (highest projected receiver on Seattle Seahawks) tops the passing attack with 85 yards and 0.40 TDs .
All stat lines are simulation-driven and update as new information becomes available.
New to NFL?
Official NFL resourcesIf you are new to American football, these official NFL resources are a good place to learn the basics, understand common terms, and check the rules behind key game situations.
NFL Football Operations — Rookie’s Guide
A good first stop for a complete NFL beginner. It explains the basic structure of the game and points readers toward other official learning pages, including rules, formations, terms, and video explanations.
2NFL Football Operations — Learn the Game
The main official NFL learning hub. It is useful for understanding how football works beyond just scores, including rules, player positions, formations, game terms, officiating, and the technology used in the league.
3Official NFL Rulebook
This is the official source for NFL playing rules. It is not the easiest place for a total beginner to start, but it is the best reference when someone wants to check the exact wording of a rule.
4NFL Video Rulebook
A more beginner-friendly way to understand penalties and rule situations. It uses video examples, which makes confusing calls much easier to understand than reading the full rulebook alone.
5NFL Terms Glossary
A useful reference for common NFL words and phrases. It helps new fans understand terms like down, snap, punt, blitz, holding, safety, formation, and many other words commentators use during games.
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