Las Vegas Raiders vs New Orleans Saints - NFL Prediction (2026-09-27)
Win probabilities
Las Vegas Raiders New Orleans SaintsWin probability is based on our predictive model.
Predicted score
Fair odds (decimal)
Las Vegas Raiders New Orleans SaintsLower decimal odds indicate higher implied value.
Canadian Moneyline Odds
Anytime Touchdown Probability
Las Vegas Raiders- Ashton Jeanty RB48.5%
- Tre Tucker WR20.9%
- Jalen Nailor WR19.3%
- Mike Washington RB14.8%
- Jack Bech WR12.3%
- Michael Mayer TE11.7%
- Kirk Cousins QB7.7%
- Malik Benson WR5.8%
- Ian Thomas TE4.7%
- Connor Heyward FB3.1%
- Dylan Laube RB3.0%
- Dareke Young WR1.1%
- Cody White WR1.1%
New Orleans Saints- Travis Etienne RB30.9%
- Chris Olave WR27.4%
- Devaughn Vele WR16.2%
- Tyler Shough QB15.9%
- Juwan Johnson TE15.2%
- Alvin Kamara RB13.2%
- Noah Fant TE10.6%
- Bryce Lance WR5.6%
- Barion Brown WR4.1%
- CJ Donaldson RB2.8%
- Oscar Delp TE2.2%
First Touchdown Probability
Las Vegas Raiders- Ashton Jeanty RB16.2%
- Tre Tucker WR5.7%
- Jalen Nailor WR5.2%
- Mike Washington RB3.9%
- Jack Bech WR3.2%
- Michael Mayer TE3.0%
- Kirk Cousins QB2.0%
- Malik Benson WR1.4%
- Ian Thomas TE1.2%
- Connor Heyward FB0.8%
- Dylan Laube RB0.7%
- Dareke Young WR0.3%
- Cody White WR0.3%
New Orleans Saints- Travis Etienne RB11.9%
- Chris Olave WR10.3%
- Devaughn Vele WR5.7%
- Tyler Shough QB5.6%
- Juwan Johnson TE5.3%
- Alvin Kamara RB4.6%
- Noah Fant TE3.6%
- Bryce Lance WR1.8%
- Barion Brown WR1.3%
- CJ Donaldson RB0.9%
- Oscar Delp TE0.7%
Projected Las Vegas Raiders Boxscore
Projected New Orleans Saints Boxscore
Las Vegas Raiders vs. New Orleans Saints: Game Breakdown
Matchup details
vs. New Orleans Saints
Betting insights
favored at -3.92
Game prediction summary
Las Vegas Raiders and New Orleans Saints meet on loading..., loading..., with the game listed for Caesars Superdome. Based on the current projection, New Orleans Saints has a clear edge at 64%.
Our model projects Las Vegas Raiders 20 - 24 New Orleans Saints. That means the score projection points to a one-score game, rather than a simple yes-or-no favourite call. New Orleans Saints carries the stronger win probability, but the projected score still gives useful context for how close the matchup may be.
From a betting angle, the current projection has the spread at New Orleans Saints -3.92, while the total sits around 44.70. That total points toward a fairly balanced scoring expectation.
Player props also add another layer: Ashton Jeanty of Las Vegas Raiders is one of the main touchdown names to watch at 48.5%. The projected box score also highlights Chris Olave for 73 projected receiving yards.
Venue information
Caesars Superdome is the New Orleans Saints’ home and one of America’s most famous domed stadiums. It has hosted numerous Super Bowls, major college football events, concerts, and national events.
Touchdown Scorer Predictions
For Anytime Touchdown Scorer bets, the top option from Las Vegas Raiders is Ashton Jeanty (the player with the highest anytime touchdown probability on the team at 48.5%). He is followed by Tre Tucker, who also poses a strong scoring threat with a 20.9% chance.
On the New Orleans Saints side, Travis Etienne leads with the highest probability at 30.9% , while Chris Olave follows closely at 27.4% .
For First Touchdown Scorer odds, our data again puts Ashton Jeanty (team-high 16.2% probability) as the most likely to score first for Las Vegas Raiders. Over on the New Orleans Saints side, Travis Etienne ranks highest with a 11.9% chance to be the first touchdown scorer in the game.
Box Score Predictions
When box score data is available, we spotlight each team's leaders by projection. For Las Vegas Raiders, Ashton Jeanty (highest projected rusher on Las Vegas Raiders) is forecast for 66 rushing yards and 0.49 TDs , while Tre Tucker (highest projected receiver on Las Vegas Raiders) is pegged for 40 receiving yards and 0.21 TDs .
On New Orleans Saints, Travis Etienne (highest projected rusher on New Orleans Saints) leads the ground game with 53 yards and 0.31 TDs , and Chris Olave (highest projected receiver on New Orleans Saints) tops the passing attack with 73 yards and 0.27 TDs .
All stat lines are simulation-driven and update as new information becomes available.
New to NFL?
Official NFL resourcesIf you are new to American football, these official NFL resources are a good place to learn the basics, understand common terms, and check the rules behind key game situations.
NFL Football Operations — Rookie’s Guide
A good first stop for a complete NFL beginner. It explains the basic structure of the game and points readers toward other official learning pages, including rules, formations, terms, and video explanations.
2NFL Football Operations — Learn the Game
The main official NFL learning hub. It is useful for understanding how football works beyond just scores, including rules, player positions, formations, game terms, officiating, and the technology used in the league.
3Official NFL Rulebook
This is the official source for NFL playing rules. It is not the easiest place for a total beginner to start, but it is the best reference when someone wants to check the exact wording of a rule.
4NFL Video Rulebook
A more beginner-friendly way to understand penalties and rule situations. It uses video examples, which makes confusing calls much easier to understand than reading the full rulebook alone.
5NFL Terms Glossary
A useful reference for common NFL words and phrases. It helps new fans understand terms like down, snap, punt, blitz, holding, safety, formation, and many other words commentators use during games.
Responsible betting
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