Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots - NFL Prediction (2026-10-11)
Win probabilities
Las Vegas Raiders New England PatriotsWin probability is based on our predictive model.
Predicted score
Fair odds (decimal)
Las Vegas Raiders New England PatriotsLower decimal odds indicate higher implied value.
Moneyline (American)
Las Vegas Raiders New England PatriotsPositive is underdog, negative is favorite.
Las Vegas Raiders vs. New England Patriots: Game Breakdown
Matchup details
vs. New England Patriots
Betting insights
favored at -8.23
Game prediction summary
Las Vegas Raiders and New England Patriots meet on loading..., loading..., with the game listed for Gillette Stadium. Based on the current projection, New England Patriots is a strong favourite at 79%.
Our model projects Las Vegas Raiders 18 - 26 New England Patriots. That means the model sees a controlled but still competitive win path, rather than a simple yes-or-no favourite call. New England Patriots carries the stronger win probability, but the projected score still gives useful context for how close the matchup may be.
From a betting angle, the current projection has the spread at Las Vegas Raiders -8.23, while the total sits around 44.44. That total points toward a fairly balanced scoring expectation.
Venue information
Gillette Stadium is the home of the New England Patriots and New England Revolution in Foxborough. Its renovated north end zone features a tall lighthouse with an observation deck.
New to NFL?
Official NFL resourcesIf you are new to American football, these official NFL resources are a good place to learn the basics, understand common terms, and check the rules behind key game situations.
NFL Football Operations — Rookie’s Guide
A good first stop for a complete NFL beginner. It explains the basic structure of the game and points readers toward other official learning pages, including rules, formations, terms, and video explanations.
2NFL Football Operations — Learn the Game
The main official NFL learning hub. It is useful for understanding how football works beyond just scores, including rules, player positions, formations, game terms, officiating, and the technology used in the league.
3Official NFL Rulebook
This is the official source for NFL playing rules. It is not the easiest place for a total beginner to start, but it is the best reference when someone wants to check the exact wording of a rule.
4NFL Video Rulebook
A more beginner-friendly way to understand penalties and rule situations. It uses video examples, which makes confusing calls much easier to understand than reading the full rulebook alone.
5NFL Terms Glossary
A useful reference for common NFL words and phrases. It helps new fans understand terms like down, snap, punt, blitz, holding, safety, formation, and many other words commentators use during games.
Responsible betting
Play smart. Bet responsibly.Sports betting should always be fun - a form of entertainment, not a way to solve financial problems. If you're finding that betting is causing stress or impacting your budget, take a step back. Never wager more than you can afford to lose.
Your mental well-being matters. Chasing losses or trying to "win it all back" is a warning sign. If friends or family raise concerns, take them seriously - they're often the first to notice when something's wrong. Visit our safer betting hub to learn more about health betting habits and responsible gambling tools.
If betting no longer feels like a choice or if it's affecting your life in a negative way, help is available. Visit Responsible Gambling Org for free, confidential support. Their trained advisors are available 24/7, and you'll also find peer support groups to talk with others who understand what you're going through.