Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers - NFL Prediction (2026-09-20)
Win probabilities
Win probability is based on our predictive model.
Predicted score
Fair odds (decimal)
Lower decimal odds indicate higher implied value.
Canadian Moneyline Odds
Anytime Touchdown Probability
- Ashton Jeanty RB47.7%
- Tre Tucker WR20.8%
- Michael Mayer TE20.4%
- Jalen Nailor WR17.3%
- Mike Washington RB14.0%
- Jack Bech WR12.1%
- Malik Benson WR7.2%
- Kirk Cousins QB5.6%
- Ian Thomas TE5.2%
- Connor Heyward FB4.4%
- Dylan Laube RB3.7%
- Dareke Young WR2.2%
- Omarion Hampton RB47.8%
- Quentin Johnston WR33.5%
- Ladd McConkey WR31.0%
- Tre' Harris WR20.9%
- David Njoku TE17.3%
- Keaton Mitchell RB17.1%
- Justin Herbert QB15.8%
- Oronde Gadsden TE12.7%
- Charlie Kolar TE12.2%
- Brenen Thompson WR7.3%
- Kimani Vidal RB6.8%
- Derius Davis WR5.4%
- Alec Ingold FB2.9%
First Touchdown Probability
- Ashton Jeanty RB13.9%
- Tre Tucker WR5.0%
- Michael Mayer TE4.9%
- Jalen Nailor WR4.1%
- Mike Washington RB3.3%
- Jack Bech WR2.8%
- Malik Benson WR1.6%
- Kirk Cousins QB1.2%
- Ian Thomas TE1.1%
- Connor Heyward FB1.0%
- Dylan Laube RB0.8%
- Dareke Young WR0.5%
- Omarion Hampton RB12.8%
- Quentin Johnston WR8.1%
- Ladd McConkey WR7.3%
- Tre' Harris WR4.6%
- David Njoku TE3.7%
- Keaton Mitchell RB3.7%
- Justin Herbert QB3.4%
- Oronde Gadsden TE2.7%
- Charlie Kolar TE2.6%
- Brenen Thompson WR1.5%
- Kimani Vidal RB1.4%
- Derius Davis WR1.1%
- Alec Ingold FB0.6%
Projected Las Vegas Raiders Boxscore
Projected Los Angeles Chargers Boxscore
Las Vegas Raiders vs. Los Angeles Chargers: Game Breakdown
Matchup details
vs. Los Angeles Chargers
Betting insights
favored at -6.20
Game prediction summary
Las Vegas Raiders and Los Angeles Chargers meet on loading..., loading..., with the game listed for SoFi Stadium. Based on the current projection, Los Angeles Chargers is a strong favourite at 71%.
Our model projects Las Vegas Raiders 18 - 25 Los Angeles Chargers. That means the score projection points to a one-score game, rather than a simple yes-or-no favourite call. Los Angeles Chargers carries the stronger win probability, but the projected score still gives useful context for how close the matchup may be.
From a betting angle, the current projection has the spread at Los Angeles Chargers -6.20, while the total sits around 43.04. That total points toward a fairly balanced scoring expectation.
Player props also add another layer: Omarion Hampton of Los Angeles Chargers is one of the main touchdown names to watch at 47.8%. The projected box score also highlights Omarion Hampton for 67 projected rushing yards.

Venue information
SoFi Stadium is the shared home of the Los Angeles Rams and Los Angeles Chargers in Inglewood. It is known for its huge translucent canopy, indoor-outdoor layout, and massive double-sided Infinity Screen video board.
Touchdown Scorer Predictions
For Anytime Touchdown Scorer bets, the top option from Las Vegas Raiders is Ashton Jeanty (the player with the highest anytime touchdown probability on the team at 47.7%). He is followed by Tre Tucker, who also poses a strong scoring threat with a 20.8% chance.
On the Los Angeles Chargers side, Omarion Hampton leads with the highest probability at 47.8% , while Quentin Johnston follows closely at 33.5% .
For First Touchdown Scorer odds, our data again puts Ashton Jeanty (team-high 13.9% probability) as the most likely to score first for Las Vegas Raiders. Over on the Los Angeles Chargers side, Omarion Hampton ranks highest with a 12.8% chance to be the first touchdown scorer in the game.
Box Score Predictions
When box score data is available, we spotlight each team's leaders by projection. For Las Vegas Raiders, Ashton Jeanty (highest projected rusher on Las Vegas Raiders) is forecast for 66 rushing yards and 0.48 TDs , while Michael Mayer (highest projected receiver on Las Vegas Raiders) is pegged for 47 receiving yards and 0.20 TDs .
On Los Angeles Chargers, Omarion Hampton (highest projected rusher on Los Angeles Chargers) leads the ground game with 67 yards and 0.48 TDs , and Ladd McConkey (highest projected receiver on Los Angeles Chargers) tops the passing attack with 56 yards and 0.31 TDs .
All stat lines are simulation-driven and update as new information becomes available.
New to NFL?
Official NFL resourcesIf you are new to American football, these official NFL resources are a good place to learn the basics, understand common terms, and check the rules behind key game situations.
NFL Football Operations — Rookie’s Guide
A good first stop for a complete NFL beginner. It explains the basic structure of the game and points readers toward other official learning pages, including rules, formations, terms, and video explanations.
2NFL Football Operations — Learn the Game
The main official NFL learning hub. It is useful for understanding how football works beyond just scores, including rules, player positions, formations, game terms, officiating, and the technology used in the league.
3Official NFL Rulebook
This is the official source for NFL playing rules. It is not the easiest place for a total beginner to start, but it is the best reference when someone wants to check the exact wording of a rule.
4NFL Video Rulebook
A more beginner-friendly way to understand penalties and rule situations. It uses video examples, which makes confusing calls much easier to understand than reading the full rulebook alone.
5NFL Terms Glossary
A useful reference for common NFL words and phrases. It helps new fans understand terms like down, snap, punt, blitz, holding, safety, formation, and many other words commentators use during games.
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