Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers - NFL Prediction (2026-09-20)

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Las Vegas Raiders
VS
Los Angeles Chargers

Win probabilities

Las Vegas Raiders
29%
Los Angeles Chargers
71%

Win probability is based on our predictive model.

Predicted score

18 - 25
Spread (Team 1 - Team 2): 6.20
Projected total: 43.04

Fair odds (decimal)

Las Vegas Raiders
3.45
Los Angeles Chargers
1.41

Lower decimal odds indicate higher implied value.

Canadian Moneyline Odds

Las Vegas Raiders
Los Angeles Chargers

Anytime Touchdown Probability

Las Vegas Raiders
  • Ashton Jeanty RB47.7%
  • Tre Tucker WR20.8%
  • Michael Mayer TE20.4%
  • Jalen Nailor WR17.3%
  • Mike Washington RB14.0%
  • Jack Bech WR12.1%
  • Malik Benson WR7.2%
  • Kirk Cousins QB5.6%
  • Ian Thomas TE5.2%
  • Connor Heyward FB4.4%
  • Dylan Laube RB3.7%
  • Dareke Young WR2.2%
Los Angeles Chargers
  • Omarion Hampton RB47.8%
  • Quentin Johnston WR33.5%
  • Ladd McConkey WR31.0%
  • Tre' Harris WR20.9%
  • David Njoku TE17.3%
  • Keaton Mitchell RB17.1%
  • Justin Herbert QB15.8%
  • Oronde Gadsden TE12.7%
  • Charlie Kolar TE12.2%
  • Brenen Thompson WR7.3%
  • Kimani Vidal RB6.8%
  • Derius Davis WR5.4%
  • Alec Ingold FB2.9%

First Touchdown Probability

Las Vegas Raiders
  • Ashton Jeanty RB13.9%
  • Tre Tucker WR5.0%
  • Michael Mayer TE4.9%
  • Jalen Nailor WR4.1%
  • Mike Washington RB3.3%
  • Jack Bech WR2.8%
  • Malik Benson WR1.6%
  • Kirk Cousins QB1.2%
  • Ian Thomas TE1.1%
  • Connor Heyward FB1.0%
  • Dylan Laube RB0.8%
  • Dareke Young WR0.5%
Los Angeles Chargers
  • Omarion Hampton RB12.8%
  • Quentin Johnston WR8.1%
  • Ladd McConkey WR7.3%
  • Tre' Harris WR4.6%
  • David Njoku TE3.7%
  • Keaton Mitchell RB3.7%
  • Justin Herbert QB3.4%
  • Oronde Gadsden TE2.7%
  • Charlie Kolar TE2.6%
  • Brenen Thompson WR1.5%
  • Kimani Vidal RB1.4%
  • Derius Davis WR1.1%
  • Alec Ingold FB0.6%

Projected Las Vegas Raiders Boxscore

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Projected Los Angeles Chargers Boxscore

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Las Vegas Raiders vs. Los Angeles Chargers: Game Breakdown

Matchup details

Teams Las Vegas Raiders
vs. Los Angeles Chargers
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Venue SoFi Stadium

Betting insights

Spread Los Angeles Chargers
favored at -6.20
Total 43.04

Game prediction summary

Projected winner Los Angeles Chargers
Projected score Las Vegas Raiders 18 - 25 Los Angeles Chargers
Game type Strong favourite

Las Vegas Raiders and Los Angeles Chargers meet on loading..., loading..., with the game listed for SoFi Stadium. Based on the current projection, Los Angeles Chargers is a strong favourite at 71%.

Our model projects Las Vegas Raiders 18 - 25 Los Angeles Chargers. That means the score projection points to a one-score game, rather than a simple yes-or-no favourite call. Los Angeles Chargers carries the stronger win probability, but the projected score still gives useful context for how close the matchup may be.

From a betting angle, the current projection has the spread at Los Angeles Chargers -6.20, while the total sits around 43.04. That total points toward a fairly balanced scoring expectation.

Player props also add another layer: Omarion Hampton of Los Angeles Chargers is one of the main touchdown names to watch at 47.8%. The projected box score also highlights Omarion Hampton for 67 projected rushing yards.

SoFi Stadium stadium

Venue information

SoFi Stadium

SoFi Stadium is the shared home of the Los Angeles Rams and Los Angeles Chargers in Inglewood. It is known for its huge translucent canopy, indoor-outdoor layout, and massive double-sided Infinity Screen video board.

Address 1001 Stadium Dr, Inglewood, CA 90301, USA
City Inglewood
Country USA

Touchdown Scorer Predictions

For Anytime Touchdown Scorer bets, the top option from Las Vegas Raiders is Ashton Jeanty (the player with the highest anytime touchdown probability on the team at 47.7%). He is followed by Tre Tucker, who also poses a strong scoring threat with a 20.8% chance.

On the Los Angeles Chargers side, Omarion Hampton leads with the highest probability at 47.8% , while Quentin Johnston follows closely at 33.5% .

For First Touchdown Scorer odds, our data again puts Ashton Jeanty (team-high 13.9% probability) as the most likely to score first for Las Vegas Raiders. Over on the Los Angeles Chargers side, Omarion Hampton ranks highest with a 12.8% chance to be the first touchdown scorer in the game.

Box Score Predictions

When box score data is available, we spotlight each team's leaders by projection. For Las Vegas Raiders, Ashton Jeanty (highest projected rusher on Las Vegas Raiders) is forecast for 66 rushing yards and 0.48 TDs , while Michael Mayer (highest projected receiver on Las Vegas Raiders) is pegged for 47 receiving yards and 0.20 TDs .

On Los Angeles Chargers, Omarion Hampton (highest projected rusher on Los Angeles Chargers) leads the ground game with 67 yards and 0.48 TDs , and Ladd McConkey (highest projected receiver on Los Angeles Chargers) tops the passing attack with 56 yards and 0.31 TDs .

All stat lines are simulation-driven and update as new information becomes available.

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