Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans - NFL Prediction (2026-12-20)

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Jacksonville Jaguars
VS
Houston Texans

Win probabilities

Jacksonville Jaguars
43%
Houston Texans
57%

Win probability is based on our predictive model.

Predicted score

22 - 23
Spread (Team 1 - Team 2): 1.66
Projected total: 44.75

Fair odds (decimal)

Jacksonville Jaguars
2.33
Houston Texans
1.75

Lower decimal odds indicate higher implied value.

Moneyline (American)

Jacksonville Jaguars
+133
Houston Texans
-133

Positive is underdog, negative is favorite.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans: Game Breakdown

Matchup details

Teams Jacksonville Jaguars
vs. Houston Texans
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Venue NRG Stadium

Betting insights

Spread Houston Texans
favored at -1.66
Total 44.75

Game prediction summary

Projected winner Houston Texans
Projected score Jacksonville Jaguars 22 - 23 Houston Texans
Game type Slight edge

Jacksonville Jaguars and Houston Texans meet on loading..., loading..., with the game listed for NRG Stadium. Based on the current projection, Houston Texans has a slight edge at 57%.

Our model projects Jacksonville Jaguars 22 - 23 Houston Texans. That means the score projection points to a field-goal type game, rather than a simple yes-or-no favourite call. Houston Texans carries the stronger win probability, but the projected score still gives useful context for how close the matchup may be.

From a betting angle, the current projection has the spread at Houston Texans -1.66, while the total sits around 44.75. That total points toward a fairly balanced scoring expectation.

NRG Stadium stadium

Venue information

NRG Stadium

NRG Stadium is the Houston Texans’ home and part of the larger NRG Park complex. It was the NFL’s first retractable-roof stadium and is also strongly associated with the Houston Livestock Show and Rodeo.

Address 1 NRG Park, Houston, TX 77054, USA
City Houston
Country USA

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