Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers - NFL Prediction (2026-09-27)
Win probabilities
Cincinnati Bengals Pittsburgh SteelersWin probability is based on our predictive model.
Predicted score
Fair odds (decimal)
Cincinnati Bengals Pittsburgh SteelersLower decimal odds indicate higher implied value.
Canadian Moneyline Odds
Anytime Touchdown Probability
Cincinnati Bengals- Chase Brown RB49.0%
- Tee Higgins WR46.8%
- Ja'Marr Chase WR46.2%
- Samaje Perine RB19.3%
- Andrei Iosivas WR17.1%
- Mike Gesicki TE14.6%
- Joe Burrow QB8.7%
- Erick All TE7.5%
- Drew Sample TE5.2%
- Tahj Brooks RB3.8%
- Colbie Young WR2.3%
- Dohnte Meyers WR1.7%
- Jack Endries TE1.6%
Pittsburgh Steelers- DK Metcalf WR41.6%
- Rico Dowdle RB30.6%
- Jaylen Warren RB29.2%
- Roman Wilson WR27.7%
- Pat Freiermuth TE27.3%
- Germie Bernard WR19.7%
- Darnell Washington TE10.4%
- Ben Skowronek WR4.6%
- Aaron Rodgers QB3.9%
- Kaden Wetjen WR2.5%
- Travis Homer RB1.7%
- Eli Heidenreich RB1.0%
- Riley Nowakowski FB0.7%
- Robert Tonyan TE0.3%
First Touchdown Probability
Cincinnati Bengals- Chase Brown RB12.5%
- Tee Higgins WR11.7%
- Ja'Marr Chase WR11.5%
- Samaje Perine RB4.0%
- Andrei Iosivas WR3.5%
- Mike Gesicki TE2.9%
- Joe Burrow QB1.7%
- Erick All TE1.4%
- Drew Sample TE1.0%
- Tahj Brooks RB0.7%
- Colbie Young WR0.4%
- Dohnte Meyers WR0.3%
- Jack Endries TE0.3%
Pittsburgh Steelers- DK Metcalf WR9.5%
- Rico Dowdle RB6.5%
- Jaylen Warren RB6.1%
- Roman Wilson WR5.8%
- Pat Freiermuth TE5.7%
- Germie Bernard WR3.9%
- Darnell Washington TE1.9%
- Ben Skowronek WR0.8%
- Aaron Rodgers QB0.7%
- Kaden Wetjen WR0.4%
- Travis Homer RB0.3%
- Eli Heidenreich RB0.2%
- Riley Nowakowski FB0.1%
- Robert Tonyan TE0.0%
Projected Cincinnati Bengals Boxscore
Projected Pittsburgh Steelers Boxscore
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Pittsburgh Steelers: Game Breakdown
Matchup details
vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Betting insights
favored at -4.05
Game prediction summary
Cincinnati Bengals and Pittsburgh Steelers meet on loading..., loading..., with the game listed for Acrisure Stadium. Based on the current projection, Cincinnati Bengals has a clear edge at 64%.
Our model projects Cincinnati Bengals 24 - 20 Pittsburgh Steelers. That means the score projection points to a one-score game, rather than a simple yes-or-no favourite call. Cincinnati Bengals carries the stronger win probability, but the projected score still gives useful context for how close the matchup may be.
From a betting angle, the current projection has the spread at Cincinnati Bengals -4.05, while the total sits around 43.15. That total points toward a fairly balanced scoring expectation.
Player props also add another layer: Chase Brown of Cincinnati Bengals is one of the main touchdown names to watch at 49.0%. The projected box score also highlights Ja'Marr Chase for 70 projected receiving yards.
Venue information
Acrisure Stadium is the home of the Pittsburgh Steelers and Pitt Panthers football, located on Pittsburgh’s North Shore. Its open south end frames views of downtown Pittsburgh and reflects the city’s steel heritage.
Touchdown Scorer Predictions
For Anytime Touchdown Scorer bets, the top option from Cincinnati Bengals is Chase Brown (the player with the highest anytime touchdown probability on the team at 49.0%). He is followed by Tee Higgins, who also poses a strong scoring threat with a 46.8% chance.
On the Pittsburgh Steelers side, DK Metcalf leads with the highest probability at 41.6% , while Rico Dowdle follows closely at 30.6% .
For First Touchdown Scorer odds, our data again puts Chase Brown (team-high 12.5% probability) as the most likely to score first for Cincinnati Bengals. Over on the Pittsburgh Steelers side, DK Metcalf ranks highest with a 9.5% chance to be the first touchdown scorer in the game.
Box Score Predictions
When box score data is available, we spotlight each team's leaders by projection. For Cincinnati Bengals, Chase Brown (highest projected rusher on Cincinnati Bengals) is forecast for 68 rushing yards and 0.49 TDs , while Ja'Marr Chase (highest projected receiver on Cincinnati Bengals) is pegged for 70 receiving yards and 0.46 TDs .
On Pittsburgh Steelers, Jaylen Warren (highest projected rusher on Pittsburgh Steelers) leads the ground game with 51 yards and 0.29 TDs , and DK Metcalf (highest projected receiver on Pittsburgh Steelers) tops the passing attack with 56 yards and 0.42 TDs .
All stat lines are simulation-driven and update as new information becomes available.
New to NFL?
Official NFL resourcesIf you are new to American football, these official NFL resources are a good place to learn the basics, understand common terms, and check the rules behind key game situations.
NFL Football Operations — Rookie’s Guide
A good first stop for a complete NFL beginner. It explains the basic structure of the game and points readers toward other official learning pages, including rules, formations, terms, and video explanations.
2NFL Football Operations — Learn the Game
The main official NFL learning hub. It is useful for understanding how football works beyond just scores, including rules, player positions, formations, game terms, officiating, and the technology used in the league.
3Official NFL Rulebook
This is the official source for NFL playing rules. It is not the easiest place for a total beginner to start, but it is the best reference when someone wants to check the exact wording of a rule.
4NFL Video Rulebook
A more beginner-friendly way to understand penalties and rule situations. It uses video examples, which makes confusing calls much easier to understand than reading the full rulebook alone.
5NFL Terms Glossary
A useful reference for common NFL words and phrases. It helps new fans understand terms like down, snap, punt, blitz, holding, safety, formation, and many other words commentators use during games.
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