Buffalo Bills vs Los Angeles Rams - NFL Prediction (2026-10-13)

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Buffalo Bills
VS
Los Angeles Rams

Win probabilities

Buffalo Bills
36%
Los Angeles Rams
64%

Win probability is based on our predictive model.

Predicted score

25 - 29
Spread (Team 1 - Team 2): 3.85
Projected total: 53.68

Fair odds (decimal)

Buffalo Bills
2.78
Los Angeles Rams
1.56

Lower decimal odds indicate higher implied value.

Canadian Moneyline Odds

Buffalo Bills
Los Angeles Rams

Anytime Touchdown Probability

Buffalo Bills
  • Josh Allen QB51.8%
  • James Cook RB48.1%
  • DJ Moore WR32.5%
  • Dalton Kincaid TE27.3%
  • Keon Coleman WR23.5%
  • Khalil Shakir WR22.7%
  • Dawson Knox TE14.3%
  • Ty Johnson RB13.5%
  • Greg Dortch WR7.9%
  • Skyler Bell WR7.5%
  • Jackson Hawes TE6.4%
  • Ray Davis RB4.2%
Los Angeles Rams
  • Kyren Williams RB58.5%
  • Puka Nacua WR49.2%
  • Davante Adams WR43.9%
  • Tyler Higbee TE27.5%
  • Blake Corum RB24.8%
  • Colby Parkinson TE22.9%
  • Konata Mumpfield WR9.2%
  • Davis Allen TE7.2%
  • Jordan Whittington WR6.3%
  • Matthew Stafford QB4.4%
  • Tutu Atwell WR3.3%
  • Max Klare TE2.4%
  • Dean Connors RB2.1%

First Touchdown Probability

Buffalo Bills
  • Josh Allen QB10.0%
  • James Cook RB9.0%
  • DJ Moore WR5.4%
  • Dalton Kincaid TE4.4%
  • Keon Coleman WR3.7%
  • Khalil Shakir WR3.5%
  • Dawson Knox TE2.1%
  • Ty Johnson RB2.0%
  • Greg Dortch WR1.1%
  • Skyler Bell WR1.1%
  • Jackson Hawes TE0.9%
  • Ray Davis RB0.6%
Los Angeles Rams
  • Kyren Williams RB13.0%
  • Puka Nacua WR10.1%
  • Davante Adams WR8.6%
  • Tyler Higbee TE4.8%
  • Blake Corum RB4.2%
  • Colby Parkinson TE3.9%
  • Konata Mumpfield WR1.4%
  • Davis Allen TE1.1%
  • Jordan Whittington WR1.0%
  • Matthew Stafford QB0.7%
  • Tutu Atwell WR0.5%
  • Max Klare TE0.4%
  • Dean Connors RB0.3%

Projected Buffalo Bills Boxscore

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Projected Los Angeles Rams Boxscore

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Buffalo Bills vs. Los Angeles Rams: Game Breakdown

Matchup details

Teams Buffalo Bills
vs. Los Angeles Rams
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Venue SoFi Stadium

Betting insights

Spread Los Angeles Rams
favored at -3.85
Total 53.68

Game prediction summary

Projected winner Los Angeles Rams
Projected score Buffalo Bills 25 - 29 Los Angeles Rams
Game type Clear edge

Buffalo Bills and Los Angeles Rams meet on loading..., loading..., with the game listed for SoFi Stadium. Based on the current projection, Los Angeles Rams has a clear edge at 64%.

Our model projects Buffalo Bills 25 - 29 Los Angeles Rams. That means the score projection points to a one-score game, rather than a simple yes-or-no favourite call. Los Angeles Rams carries the stronger win probability, but the projected score still gives useful context for how close the matchup may be.

From a betting angle, the current projection has the spread at Los Angeles Rams -3.85, while the total sits around 53.68. That total points toward a higher-scoring projection with decent offensive upside.

Player props also add another layer: Kyren Williams of Los Angeles Rams is one of the main touchdown names to watch at 58.5%. The projected box score also highlights Puka Nacua for 98 projected receiving yards.

SoFi Stadium stadium

Venue information

SoFi Stadium

SoFi Stadium is the shared home of the Los Angeles Rams and Los Angeles Chargers in Inglewood. It is known for its huge translucent canopy, indoor-outdoor layout, and massive double-sided Infinity Screen video board.

Address 1001 Stadium Dr, Inglewood, CA 90301, USA
City Inglewood
Country USA

Touchdown Scorer Predictions

For Anytime Touchdown Scorer bets, the top option from Buffalo Bills is Josh Allen (the player with the highest anytime touchdown probability on the team at 51.8%). He is followed by James Cook, who also poses a strong scoring threat with a 48.1% chance.

On the Los Angeles Rams side, Kyren Williams leads with the highest probability at 58.5% , while Puka Nacua follows closely at 49.2% .

For First Touchdown Scorer odds, our data again puts Josh Allen (team-high 10.0% probability) as the most likely to score first for Buffalo Bills. Over on the Los Angeles Rams side, Kyren Williams ranks highest with a 13.0% chance to be the first touchdown scorer in the game.

Box Score Predictions

When box score data is available, we spotlight each team's leaders by projection. For Buffalo Bills, James Cook (highest projected rusher on Buffalo Bills) is forecast for 81 rushing yards and 0.48 TDs , while Dalton Kincaid (highest projected receiver on Buffalo Bills) is pegged for 56 receiving yards and 0.27 TDs .

On Los Angeles Rams, Kyren Williams (highest projected rusher on Los Angeles Rams) leads the ground game with 73 yards and 0.58 TDs , and Puka Nacua (highest projected receiver on Los Angeles Rams) tops the passing attack with 98 yards and 0.49 TDs .

All stat lines are simulation-driven and update as new information becomes available.

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