Chicago Bears vs Atlanta Falcons - NFL Prediction (2026-10-18)

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Chicago Bears
VS
Atlanta Falcons

Win probabilities

Chicago Bears
60%
Atlanta Falcons
40%

Win probability is based on our predictive model.

Predicted score

25 - 22
Spread (Team 1 - Team 2): 2.76
Projected total: 46.98

Fair odds (decimal)

Chicago Bears
1.67
Atlanta Falcons
2.50

Lower decimal odds indicate higher implied value.

Moneyline (American)

Chicago Bears
-150
Atlanta Falcons
+150

Positive is underdog, negative is favorite.

Chicago Bears vs. Atlanta Falcons: Game Breakdown

Matchup details

Teams Chicago Bears
vs. Atlanta Falcons
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Venue Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Betting insights

Spread Atlanta Falcons
favored at -2.76
Total 46.98

Game prediction summary

Projected winner Chicago Bears
Projected score Chicago Bears 25 - 22 Atlanta Falcons
Game type Clear edge

Chicago Bears and Atlanta Falcons meet on loading..., loading..., with the game listed for Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Based on the current projection, Chicago Bears has a clear edge at 60%.

Our model projects Chicago Bears 25 - 22 Atlanta Falcons. That means the score projection points to a field-goal type game, rather than a simple yes-or-no favourite call. Chicago Bears carries the stronger win probability, but the projected score still gives useful context for how close the matchup may be.

From a betting angle, the current projection has the spread at Atlanta Falcons -2.76, while the total sits around 46.98. That total points toward a fairly balanced scoring expectation.

Mercedes-Benz Stadium stadium

Venue information

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Mercedes-Benz Stadium is the home of the Atlanta Falcons and Atlanta United. Its signature design elements are the retractable roof and the huge circular halo video display above the seating bowl.

Address 1 AMB Dr NW, Atlanta, GA 30313, USA
City Atlanta
Country USA

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