Minnesota Vikings vs Chicago Bears - NFL Prediction (2026-09-20)
Win probabilities
Minnesota Vikings Chicago BearsWin probability is based on our predictive model.
Predicted score
Fair odds (decimal)
Minnesota Vikings Chicago BearsLower decimal odds indicate higher implied value.
Canadian Moneyline Odds
Anytime Touchdown Probability
Minnesota Vikings- Aaron Jones RB48.5%
- Justin Jefferson WR37.5%
- Jordan Addison WR28.6%
- T.J. Hockenson TE22.2%
- DeeJay Dallas RB18.1%
- Josh Oliver TE13.2%
- Demond Claiborne RB11.9%
- Tai Felton WR10.7%
- Carson Wentz QB8.9%
- Myles Price WR4.3%
- Max Bredeson FB3.0%
Chicago Bears- D'Andre Swift RB48.5%
- Colston Loveland TE32.0%
- Rome Odunze WR28.7%
- Kyle Monangai RB27.8%
- Luther Burden WR27.8%
- Caleb Williams QB17.8%
- Kalif Raymond WR17.3%
- Cole Kmet TE13.6%
- Jahdae Walker WR7.3%
- Sam Roush TE3.8%
- Zavion Thomas WR3.6%
- Roschon Johnson RB3.0%
First Touchdown Probability
Minnesota Vikings- Aaron Jones RB11.4%
- Justin Jefferson WR8.1%
- Jordan Addison WR5.8%
- T.J. Hockenson TE4.3%
- DeeJay Dallas RB3.4%
- Josh Oliver TE2.4%
- Demond Claiborne RB2.2%
- Tai Felton WR1.9%
- Carson Wentz QB1.6%
- Myles Price WR0.8%
- Max Bredeson FB0.5%
Chicago Bears- D'Andre Swift RB12.1%
- Colston Loveland TE7.0%
- Rome Odunze WR6.2%
- Kyle Monangai RB5.9%
- Luther Burden WR5.9%
- Caleb Williams QB3.6%
- Kalif Raymond WR3.5%
- Cole Kmet TE2.7%
- Jahdae Walker WR1.4%
- Sam Roush TE0.7%
- Zavion Thomas WR0.7%
- Roschon Johnson RB0.6%
Projected Minnesota Vikings Boxscore
Projected Chicago Bears Boxscore
Minnesota Vikings vs. Chicago Bears: Game Breakdown
Matchup details
vs. Chicago Bears
Betting insights
favored at -4.80
Game prediction summary
Minnesota Vikings and Chicago Bears meet on loading..., loading..., with the game listed for Soldier Field. Based on the current projection, Chicago Bears has a clear edge at 67%.
Our model projects Minnesota Vikings 22 - 26 Chicago Bears. That means the score projection points to a one-score game, rather than a simple yes-or-no favourite call. Chicago Bears carries the stronger win probability, but the projected score still gives useful context for how close the matchup may be.
From a betting angle, the current projection has the spread at Chicago Bears -4.80, while the total sits around 48.07. That total points toward a higher-scoring projection with decent offensive upside.
Player props also add another layer: Aaron Jones of Minnesota Vikings is one of the main touchdown names to watch at 48.5%. The projected box score also highlights Justin Jefferson for 82 projected receiving yards.
Venue information
Soldier Field is the Chicago Bears’ lakefront home and one of the most historic stadiums in American football. Its classic colonnades still shape its identity despite major renovations.
Touchdown Scorer Predictions
For Anytime Touchdown Scorer bets, the top option from Minnesota Vikings is Aaron Jones (the player with the highest anytime touchdown probability on the team at 48.5%). He is followed by Justin Jefferson, who also poses a strong scoring threat with a 37.5% chance.
On the Chicago Bears side, D'Andre Swift leads with the highest probability at 48.5% , while Colston Loveland follows closely at 32.0% .
For First Touchdown Scorer odds, our data again puts Aaron Jones (team-high 11.4% probability) as the most likely to score first for Minnesota Vikings. Over on the Chicago Bears side, D'Andre Swift ranks highest with a 12.1% chance to be the first touchdown scorer in the game.
Box Score Predictions
When box score data is available, we spotlight each team's leaders by projection. For Minnesota Vikings, Aaron Jones (highest projected rusher on Minnesota Vikings) is forecast for 61 rushing yards and 0.48 TDs , while Justin Jefferson (highest projected receiver on Minnesota Vikings) is pegged for 82 receiving yards and 0.38 TDs .
On Chicago Bears, D'Andre Swift (highest projected rusher on Chicago Bears) leads the ground game with 69 yards and 0.48 TDs , and Luther Burden (highest projected receiver on Chicago Bears) tops the passing attack with 55 yards and 0.28 TDs .
All stat lines are simulation-driven and update as new information becomes available.
New to NFL?
Official NFL resourcesIf you are new to American football, these official NFL resources are a good place to learn the basics, understand common terms, and check the rules behind key game situations.
NFL Football Operations — Rookie’s Guide
A good first stop for a complete NFL beginner. It explains the basic structure of the game and points readers toward other official learning pages, including rules, formations, terms, and video explanations.
2NFL Football Operations — Learn the Game
The main official NFL learning hub. It is useful for understanding how football works beyond just scores, including rules, player positions, formations, game terms, officiating, and the technology used in the league.
3Official NFL Rulebook
This is the official source for NFL playing rules. It is not the easiest place for a total beginner to start, but it is the best reference when someone wants to check the exact wording of a rule.
4NFL Video Rulebook
A more beginner-friendly way to understand penalties and rule situations. It uses video examples, which makes confusing calls much easier to understand than reading the full rulebook alone.
5NFL Terms Glossary
A useful reference for common NFL words and phrases. It helps new fans understand terms like down, snap, punt, blitz, holding, safety, formation, and many other words commentators use during games.
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