Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants - NFL Prediction (2026-09-14)
Win probabilities
Dallas Cowboys New York GiantsWin probability is based on our predictive model.
Predicted score
Fair odds (decimal)
Dallas Cowboys New York GiantsLower decimal odds indicate higher implied value.
Canadian Moneyline Odds
Anytime Touchdown Probability
Dallas Cowboys- Javonte Williams RB54.2%
- CeeDee Lamb WR36.2%
- George Pickens WR32.9%
- Jake Ferguson TE23.2%
- Ryan Flournoy WR17.7%
- Emari Demercado RB15.8%
- Dak Prescott QB12.6%
- KaVontae Turpin WR11.3%
- Hunter Luepke FB7.1%
- Brevyn Spann-Ford TE6.6%
- Luke Schoonmaker TE6.3%
- Jonathan Mingo WR3.2%
- Israel Abanikanda RB2.9%
New York Giants- Cam Skattebo RB46.4%
- Malik Nabers WR33.3%
- Jaxson Dart QB32.2%
- Isaiah Likely TE23.6%
- Malachi Fields WR20.2%
- Najee Harris RB19.1%
- Tyrone Tracy RB17.5%
- Darnell Mooney WR14.6%
- Theo Johnson TE13.8%
- Odell Beckham WR11.1%
- Devin Singletary RB8.0%
- Braxton Berrios WR2.9%
- Patrick Ricard FB2.3%
- Chris Manhertz TE2.3%
First Touchdown Probability
Dallas Cowboys- Javonte Williams RB14.0%
- CeeDee Lamb WR8.1%
- George Pickens WR7.2%
- Jake Ferguson TE4.7%
- Ryan Flournoy WR3.5%
- Emari Demercado RB3.1%
- Dak Prescott QB2.4%
- KaVontae Turpin WR2.2%
- Hunter Luepke FB1.3%
- Brevyn Spann-Ford TE1.2%
- Luke Schoonmaker TE1.2%
- Jonathan Mingo WR0.6%
- Israel Abanikanda RB0.5%
New York Giants- Cam Skattebo RB9.6%
- Malik Nabers WR6.2%
- Jaxson Dart QB5.9%
- Isaiah Likely TE4.1%
- Malachi Fields WR3.5%
- Najee Harris RB3.3%
- Tyrone Tracy RB2.9%
- Darnell Mooney WR2.4%
- Theo Johnson TE2.3%
- Odell Beckham WR1.8%
- Devin Singletary RB1.3%
- Braxton Berrios WR0.4%
- Patrick Ricard FB0.4%
- Chris Manhertz TE0.4%
Projected Dallas Cowboys Boxscore
Projected New York Giants Boxscore
Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Giants: Game Breakdown
Matchup details
vs. New York Giants
Betting insights
favored at -3.12
Game prediction summary
Dallas Cowboys and New York Giants meet on loading..., loading..., with the game listed for MetLife Stadium. Based on the current projection, Dallas Cowboys has a clear edge at 61%.
Our model projects Dallas Cowboys 25 - 22 New York Giants. That means the score projection points to a field-goal type game, rather than a simple yes-or-no favourite call. Dallas Cowboys carries the stronger win probability, but the projected score still gives useful context for how close the matchup may be.
From a betting angle, the current projection has the spread at Dallas Cowboys -3.12, while the total sits around 47.40. That total points toward a fairly balanced scoring expectation.
Player props also add another layer: Javonte Williams of Dallas Cowboys is one of the main touchdown names to watch at 54.2%. The projected box score also highlights Javonte Williams for 80 projected rushing yards.
Venue information
MetLife Stadium is the shared home of the New York Giants and New York Jets in East Rutherford, New Jersey. It is one of the NFL’s largest stadiums and will host the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final.
Touchdown Scorer Predictions
For Anytime Touchdown Scorer bets, the top option from Dallas Cowboys is Javonte Williams (the player with the highest anytime touchdown probability on the team at 54.2%). He is followed by CeeDee Lamb, who also poses a strong scoring threat with a 36.2% chance.
On the New York Giants side, Cam Skattebo leads with the highest probability at 46.4% , while Malik Nabers follows closely at 33.3% .
For First Touchdown Scorer odds, our data again puts Javonte Williams (team-high 14.0% probability) as the most likely to score first for Dallas Cowboys. Over on the New York Giants side, Cam Skattebo ranks highest with a 9.6% chance to be the first touchdown scorer in the game.
Box Score Predictions
When box score data is available, we spotlight each team's leaders by projection. For Dallas Cowboys, Javonte Williams (highest projected rusher on Dallas Cowboys) is forecast for 80 rushing yards and 0.54 TDs , while CeeDee Lamb (highest projected receiver on Dallas Cowboys) is pegged for 80 receiving yards and 0.36 TDs .
On New York Giants, Cam Skattebo (highest projected rusher on New York Giants) leads the ground game with 55 yards and 0.46 TDs , and Malik Nabers (highest projected receiver on New York Giants) tops the passing attack with 62 yards and 0.33 TDs .
All stat lines are simulation-driven and update as new information becomes available.
New to NFL?
Official NFL resourcesIf you are new to American football, these official NFL resources are a good place to learn the basics, understand common terms, and check the rules behind key game situations.
NFL Football Operations — Rookie’s Guide
A good first stop for a complete NFL beginner. It explains the basic structure of the game and points readers toward other official learning pages, including rules, formations, terms, and video explanations.
2NFL Football Operations — Learn the Game
The main official NFL learning hub. It is useful for understanding how football works beyond just scores, including rules, player positions, formations, game terms, officiating, and the technology used in the league.
3Official NFL Rulebook
This is the official source for NFL playing rules. It is not the easiest place for a total beginner to start, but it is the best reference when someone wants to check the exact wording of a rule.
4NFL Video Rulebook
A more beginner-friendly way to understand penalties and rule situations. It uses video examples, which makes confusing calls much easier to understand than reading the full rulebook alone.
5NFL Terms Glossary
A useful reference for common NFL words and phrases. It helps new fans understand terms like down, snap, punt, blitz, holding, safety, formation, and many other words commentators use during games.
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