Miami Dolphins vs Las Vegas Raiders - NFL Prediction (2026-09-13)
Win probabilities
Miami Dolphins Las Vegas RaidersWin probability is based on our predictive model.
Predicted score
Fair odds (decimal)
Miami Dolphins Las Vegas RaidersLower decimal odds indicate higher implied value.
Canadian Moneyline Odds
Anytime Touchdown Probability
Miami Dolphins- De'Von Achane RB43.2%
- Malik Willis QB23.7%
- Malik Washington WR17.6%
- Greg Dulcich TE15.3%
- Caleb Douglas WR14.2%
- Ollie Gordon RB13.1%
- Chris Bell WR11.8%
- Jaylen Wright RB11.1%
- Jalen Tolbert WR9.1%
- Will Kacmarek TE6.9%
- Kevin Coleman WR5.2%
- Seydou Traore TE2.8%
- DJ Herman FB1.5%
- Le'Veon Moss RB0.0%
Las Vegas Raiders- Ashton Jeanty RB51.6%
- Tre Tucker WR28.2%
- Mike Washington RB24.2%
- Michael Mayer TE23.4%
- Jalen Nailor WR22.8%
- Jack Bech WR13.0%
- Malik Benson WR7.5%
- Ian Thomas TE6.9%
- Connor Heyward FB6.2%
- Kirk Cousins QB5.3%
- Dylan Laube RB4.8%
- Dareke Young WR2.6%
- Cody White WR1.0%
First Touchdown Probability
Miami Dolphins- De'Von Achane RB12.6%
- Malik Willis QB6.0%
- Malik Washington WR4.3%
- Greg Dulcich TE3.7%
- Caleb Douglas WR3.4%
- Ollie Gordon RB3.1%
- Chris Bell WR2.8%
- Jaylen Wright RB2.6%
- Jalen Tolbert WR2.1%
- Will Kacmarek TE1.6%
- Kevin Coleman WR1.2%
- Seydou Traore TE0.6%
- DJ Herman FB0.3%
- Le'Veon Moss RB0.0%
Las Vegas Raiders- Ashton Jeanty RB15.6%
- Tre Tucker WR7.1%
- Mike Washington RB5.9%
- Michael Mayer TE5.7%
- Jalen Nailor WR5.5%
- Jack Bech WR3.0%
- Malik Benson WR1.7%
- Ian Thomas TE1.5%
- Connor Heyward FB1.4%
- Kirk Cousins QB1.2%
- Dylan Laube RB1.0%
- Dareke Young WR0.6%
- Cody White WR0.2%
Projected Miami Dolphins Boxscore
Projected Las Vegas Raiders Boxscore
Miami Dolphins vs. Las Vegas Raiders: Game Breakdown
Matchup details
vs. Las Vegas Raiders
Betting insights
favored at -2.17
Game prediction summary
Miami Dolphins and Las Vegas Raiders meet on loading..., loading..., with the game listed for Allegiant Stadium. Based on the current projection, Las Vegas Raiders has a slight edge at 58%.
Our model projects Miami Dolphins 19 - 21 Las Vegas Raiders. That means the score projection points to a field-goal type game, rather than a simple yes-or-no favourite call. Las Vegas Raiders carries the stronger win probability, but the projected score still gives useful context for how close the matchup may be.
From a betting angle, the current projection has the spread at Las Vegas Raiders -2.17, while the total sits around 40.80. That total points toward a lower-scoring, more defence-led projection.
Player props also add another layer: Ashton Jeanty of Las Vegas Raiders is one of the main touchdown names to watch at 51.6%. The projected box score also highlights De'Von Achane for 73 projected rushing yards.
Venue information
Allegiant Stadium is the Las Vegas Raiders’ home, located close to the Las Vegas Strip. Its translucent roof, natural grass field, and large operable lanai doors create a dramatic indoor-outdoor stadium feel.
Touchdown Scorer Predictions
For Anytime Touchdown Scorer bets, the top option from Miami Dolphins is De'Von Achane (the player with the highest anytime touchdown probability on the team at 43.2%). He is followed by Malik Willis, who also poses a strong scoring threat with a 23.7% chance.
On the Las Vegas Raiders side, Ashton Jeanty leads with the highest probability at 51.6% , while Tre Tucker follows closely at 28.2% .
For First Touchdown Scorer odds, our data again puts De'Von Achane (team-high 12.6% probability) as the most likely to score first for Miami Dolphins. Over on the Las Vegas Raiders side, Ashton Jeanty ranks highest with a 15.6% chance to be the first touchdown scorer in the game.
Box Score Predictions
When box score data is available, we spotlight each team's leaders by projection. For Miami Dolphins, De'Von Achane (highest projected rusher on Miami Dolphins) is forecast for 73 rushing yards and 0.43 TDs , while Malik Washington (highest projected receiver on Miami Dolphins) is pegged for 33 receiving yards and 0.18 TDs .
On Las Vegas Raiders, Ashton Jeanty (highest projected rusher on Las Vegas Raiders) leads the ground game with 59 yards and 0.52 TDs , and Tre Tucker (highest projected receiver on Las Vegas Raiders) tops the passing attack with 52 yards and 0.28 TDs .
All stat lines are simulation-driven and update as new information becomes available.
New to NFL?
Official NFL resourcesIf you are new to American football, these official NFL resources are a good place to learn the basics, understand common terms, and check the rules behind key game situations.
NFL Football Operations — Rookie’s Guide
A good first stop for a complete NFL beginner. It explains the basic structure of the game and points readers toward other official learning pages, including rules, formations, terms, and video explanations.
2NFL Football Operations — Learn the Game
The main official NFL learning hub. It is useful for understanding how football works beyond just scores, including rules, player positions, formations, game terms, officiating, and the technology used in the league.
3Official NFL Rulebook
This is the official source for NFL playing rules. It is not the easiest place for a total beginner to start, but it is the best reference when someone wants to check the exact wording of a rule.
4NFL Video Rulebook
A more beginner-friendly way to understand penalties and rule situations. It uses video examples, which makes confusing calls much easier to understand than reading the full rulebook alone.
5NFL Terms Glossary
A useful reference for common NFL words and phrases. It helps new fans understand terms like down, snap, punt, blitz, holding, safety, formation, and many other words commentators use during games.
Responsible betting
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