New York Jets vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers - NFL Prediction (2025-09-21)

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New York Jets
vs
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Win probabilities

New York Jets
26%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
74%

Predicted score

19 - 26
Spread (Team 1 - Team 2): -6.68
Projected total: 44.91

Fair odds (decimal)

New York Jets: 3.85
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1.35

Canadian Moneyline Odds

New York Jets
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Anytime Touchdown Probability

New York Jets
  • Breece Hall RB38.3%
  • Justin Fields QB30.5%
  • Garrett Wilson WR29.9%
  • Braelon Allen RB20.7%
  • Mason Taylor TE17.3%
  • Isaiah Davis RB16.4%
  • Allen Lazard WR16.2%
  • Josh Reynolds WR7.5%
  • Arian Smith WR5.9%
  • Tyler Johnson WR5.8%
  • Jeremy Ruckert TE3.9%
  • Stone Smartt TE3.3%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  • Bucky Irving RB52.6%
  • Mike Evans WR37.7%
  • Emeka Egbuka WR30.9%
  • Rachaad White RB28.3%
  • Cade Otton TE15.8%
  • Sterling Shepard WR14.6%
  • Baker Mayfield QB11.8%
  • Sean Tucker RB4.9%
  • Tez Johnson WR3.6%
  • Payne Durham TE2.4%
  • Devin Culp TE1.1%

First Touchdown Probability

New York Jets
  • Breece Hall RB8.8%
  • Justin Fields QB6.6%
  • Garrett Wilson WR6.5%
  • Braelon Allen RB4.2%
  • Mason Taylor TE3.5%
  • Isaiah Davis RB3.3%
  • Allen Lazard WR3.2%
  • Josh Reynolds WR1.4%
  • Arian Smith WR1.1%
  • Tyler Johnson WR1.1%
  • Jeremy Ruckert TE0.7%
  • Stone Smartt TE0.6%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  • Bucky Irving RB16.3%
  • Mike Evans WR10.3%
  • Emeka Egbuka WR8.0%
  • Rachaad White RB7.3%
  • Cade Otton TE3.7%
  • Sterling Shepard WR3.4%
  • Baker Mayfield QB2.7%
  • Sean Tucker RB1.1%
  • Tez Johnson WR0.8%
  • Payne Durham TE0.5%
  • Devin Culp TE0.3%

Projected New York Jets Boxscore

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Projected Tampa Bay Buccaneers Boxscore

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New York Jets vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Game Breakdown

Matchup details

  • Teams: New York Jets vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
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Betting insights

Spread: New York Jets favored at -6.68. Total: 44.91.

Game prediction summary

New York Jets and Tampa Bay Buccaneers face off on loading..., loading..., in a matchup that's drawn attention from bettors and fans alike.

We're projecting a final score of New York Jets 19 – 26 Tampa Bay Buccaneers, with win probabilities leaning 74% in favor of Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Current odds list the spread at -6.68, with the total set at 44.91.

Touchdown Scorer Predictions

For Anytime Touchdown Scorer bets, the top option from New York Jets is Breece Hall (the player with the highest anytime touchdown probability on the team at 38.3%). He is followed by Justin Fields, who also poses a strong scoring threat with a 30.5% chance.

On the Tampa Bay Buccaneers side, Bucky Irving leads with the highest probability at 52.6% , while Mike Evans follows closely at 37.7% .

For First Touchdown Scorer odds, our data again puts Breece Hall (team-high 8.8% probability) as the most likely to score first for New York Jets. Over on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers side, Bucky Irving ranks highest with a 16.3% chance to be the first touchdown scorer in the game.

Box Score Predictions

When box score data is available, we spotlight each team's leaders by projection. For New York Jets, Breece Hall (highest projected rusher on New York Jets) is forecast for 66 rushing yards and 0.38 TDs , while Garrett Wilson (highest projected receiver on New York Jets) is pegged for 70 receiving yards and 0.30 TDs .

On Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Bucky Irving (highest projected rusher on Tampa Bay Buccaneers) leads the ground game with 74 yards and 0.53 TDs , and Mike Evans (highest projected receiver on Tampa Bay Buccaneers) tops the passing attack with 64 yards and 0.38 TDs .

All stat lines are simulation-driven and update as new information becomes available.

Responsible betting

Sports betting should always be fun - a form of entertainment, not a way to solve financial problems. If you're finding that betting is causing stress or impacting your budget, take a step back. Never wager more than you can afford to lose.

Your mental well-being matters. Chasing losses or trying to "win it all back" is a warning sign. If friends or family raise concerns, take them seriously - they're often the first to notice when something's wrong.

If betting no longer feels like a choice or if it's affecting your life in a negative way, help is available. Visit Gambling Therapy for free, confidential support. Their trained advisors are available 24/7, and you'll also find peer support groups to talk with others who understand what you're going through.

Bet smart. Stay in control. Your well-being comes first.