Miami Dolphins vs Pittsburgh Steelers - NFL Prediction (2025-12-16)

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Miami Dolphins
vs
Pittsburgh Steelers

Win probabilities

Miami Dolphins
39%
Pittsburgh Steelers
61%

Predicted score

20 - 23
Spread (Team 1 - Team 2): -2.76
Projected total: 43.23

Fair odds (decimal)

Miami Dolphins: 2.56
Pittsburgh Steelers: 1.64

Canadian Moneyline Odds

Miami Dolphins
+155
Pittsburgh Steelers
-208
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Anytime Touchdown Probability

Miami Dolphins
  • De'Von Achane RB49.8%
  • Jaylen Waddle WR31.7%
  • Darren Waller TE25.2%
  • Ollie Gordon RB21.2%
  • Jaylen Wright RB19.9%
  • Malik Washington WR19.4%
  • Nick Westbrook-Ikhine WR11.4%
  • Greg Dulcich TE7.1%
  • Julian Hill TE4.7%
  • Alec Ingold FB4.6%
  • Tua Tagovailoa QB4.5%
  • Dee Eskridge WR4.3%
  • Cedrick Wilson WR4.1%
  • Tahj Washington WR2.0%
Pittsburgh Steelers
  • Jaylen Warren RB42.0%
  • DK Metcalf WR36.1%
  • Kenneth Gainwell RB35.5%
  • Pat Freiermuth TE19.9%
  • Jonnu Smith TE17.5%
  • Darnell Washington TE16.7%
  • Calvin Austin WR16.6%
  • Adam Thielen WR12.1%
  • Kaleb Johnson RB7.4%
  • Aaron Rodgers QB5.9%
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling WR5.6%
  • Ben Skowronek WR5.1%
  • Roman Wilson WR3.8%
  • Connor Heyward TE3.2%
  • Scotty Miller WR2.7%

First Touchdown Probability

Miami Dolphins
  • De'Von Achane RB11.9%
  • Jaylen Waddle WR6.6%
  • Darren Waller TE5.0%
  • Ollie Gordon RB4.1%
  • Jaylen Wright RB3.8%
  • Malik Washington WR3.7%
  • Nick Westbrook-Ikhine WR2.1%
  • Greg Dulcich TE1.3%
  • Julian Hill TE0.8%
  • Alec Ingold FB0.8%
  • Tua Tagovailoa QB0.8%
  • Dee Eskridge WR0.8%
  • Cedrick Wilson WR0.7%
  • Tahj Washington WR0.4%
Pittsburgh Steelers
  • Jaylen Warren RB10.4%
  • DK Metcalf WR8.5%
  • Kenneth Gainwell RB8.3%
  • Pat Freiermuth TE4.2%
  • Jonnu Smith TE3.7%
  • Darnell Washington TE3.5%
  • Calvin Austin WR3.5%
  • Adam Thielen WR2.4%
  • Kaleb Johnson RB1.5%
  • Aaron Rodgers QB1.2%
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling WR1.1%
  • Ben Skowronek WR1.0%
  • Roman Wilson WR0.7%
  • Connor Heyward TE0.6%
  • Scotty Miller WR0.5%

Projected Miami Dolphins Boxscore

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Projected Pittsburgh Steelers Boxscore

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Miami Dolphins vs. Pittsburgh Steelers: Game Breakdown

Matchup details

  • Teams: Miami Dolphins vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
  • Date: loading...
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Betting insights

Spread: Miami Dolphins favored at -2.76. Total: 43.23.

Game prediction summary

Miami Dolphins and Pittsburgh Steelers face off on loading..., loading..., in a matchup that's drawn attention from bettors and fans alike.

We're projecting a final score of Miami Dolphins 20 – 23 Pittsburgh Steelers, with win probabilities leaning 61% in favor of Pittsburgh Steelers. Current odds list the spread at -2.76, with the total set at 43.23.

Touchdown Scorer Predictions

For Anytime Touchdown Scorer bets, the top option from Miami Dolphins is De'Von Achane (the player with the highest anytime touchdown probability on the team at 49.8%). He is followed by Jaylen Waddle, who also poses a strong scoring threat with a 31.7% chance.

On the Pittsburgh Steelers side, Jaylen Warren leads with the highest probability at 42.0% , while DK Metcalf follows closely at 36.1% .

For First Touchdown Scorer odds, our data again puts De'Von Achane (team-high 11.9% probability) as the most likely to score first for Miami Dolphins. Over on the Pittsburgh Steelers side, Jaylen Warren ranks highest with a 10.4% chance to be the first touchdown scorer in the game.

Box Score Predictions

When box score data is available, we spotlight each team's leaders by projection. For Miami Dolphins, De'Von Achane (highest projected rusher on Miami Dolphins) is forecast for 78 rushing yards and 0.50 TDs , while Jaylen Waddle (highest projected receiver on Miami Dolphins) is pegged for 64 receiving yards and 0.32 TDs .

On Pittsburgh Steelers, Jaylen Warren (highest projected rusher on Pittsburgh Steelers) leads the ground game with 55 yards and 0.42 TDs , and DK Metcalf (highest projected receiver on Pittsburgh Steelers) tops the passing attack with 58 yards and 0.36 TDs .

All stat lines are simulation-driven and update as new information becomes available.

Responsible betting

Sports betting should always be fun - a form of entertainment, not a way to solve financial problems. If you're finding that betting is causing stress or impacting your budget, take a step back. Never wager more than you can afford to lose.

Your mental well-being matters. Chasing losses or trying to "win it all back" is a warning sign. If friends or family raise concerns, take them seriously - they're often the first to notice when something's wrong.

If betting no longer feels like a choice or if it's affecting your life in a negative way, help is available. Visit Gambling Therapy for free, confidential support. Their trained advisors are available 24/7, and you'll also find peer support groups to talk with others who understand what you're going through.

Bet smart. Stay in control. Your well-being comes first.

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