Indianapolis Colts vs Kansas City Chiefs - NFL Prediction (2025-11-23)
Win probabilities
Indianapolis Colts Kansas City ChiefsPredicted score
Fair odds (decimal)
Canadian Moneyline Odds
Anytime Touchdown Probability
Indianapolis Colts- Jonathan Taylor RB68.9%
- Tyler Warren TE28.5%
- Michael Pittman WR26.2%
- Daniel Jones QB23.9%
- Alec Pierce WR23.8%
- Josh Downs WR21.7%
- Ameer Abdullah RB7.1%
- DJ Giddens RB5.2%
- Ashton Dulin WR4.6%
- Tyler Goodson RB4.2%
- Mo Alie-Cox TE4.1%
- Anthony Gould WR4.0%
- Drew Ogletree TE3.8%
- Will Mallory TE2.6%
Kansas City Chiefs- Rashee Rice WR45.0%
- Isiah Pacheco RB40.8%
- Kareem Hunt RB39.7%
- Travis Kelce TE36.1%
- Xavier Worthy WR29.1%
- Patrick Mahomes QB21.9%
- Hollywood Brown WR18.0%
- Brashard Smith RB16.6%
- Noah Gray TE11.8%
- JuJu Smith-Schuster WR11.7%
- Tyquan Thornton WR8.1%
- Jalen Royals WR4.3%
- Nikko Remigio WR2.8%
- Jared Wiley TE2.7%
- Clyde Edwards-Helaire RB2.3%
- Robert Tonyan TE2.1%
First Touchdown Probability
Indianapolis Colts- Jonathan Taylor RB17.3%
- Tyler Warren TE5.0%
- Michael Pittman WR4.5%
- Daniel Jones QB4.0%
- Alec Pierce WR4.0%
- Josh Downs WR3.6%
- Ameer Abdullah RB1.1%
- DJ Giddens RB0.8%
- Ashton Dulin WR0.7%
- Tyler Goodson RB0.6%
- Mo Alie-Cox TE0.6%
- Anthony Gould WR0.6%
- Drew Ogletree TE0.6%
- Will Mallory TE0.4%
Kansas City Chiefs- Rashee Rice WR8.5%
- Isiah Pacheco RB7.5%
- Kareem Hunt RB7.2%
- Travis Kelce TE6.4%
- Xavier Worthy WR4.9%
- Patrick Mahomes QB3.5%
- Hollywood Brown WR2.8%
- Brashard Smith RB2.6%
- Noah Gray TE1.8%
- JuJu Smith-Schuster WR1.8%
- Tyquan Thornton WR1.2%
- Jalen Royals WR0.6%
- Nikko Remigio WR0.4%
- Jared Wiley TE0.4%
- Clyde Edwards-Helaire RB0.3%
- Robert Tonyan TE0.3%
Projected Indianapolis Colts Boxscore
Projected Kansas City Chiefs Boxscore
Indianapolis Colts vs. Kansas City Chiefs: Game Breakdown
Matchup details
- Teams: Indianapolis Colts vs. Kansas City Chiefs
- Date: loading...
- Time: loading...
Betting insights
Spread: Indianapolis Colts favored at -3.37. Total: 50.31.
Game prediction summary
Indianapolis Colts and Kansas City Chiefs face off on loading..., loading..., in a matchup that's drawn attention from bettors and fans alike.
We're projecting a final score of Indianapolis Colts 23 – 27 Kansas City Chiefs, with win probabilities leaning 62% in favor of Kansas City Chiefs. Current odds list the spread at -3.37, with the total set at 50.31.
Touchdown Scorer Predictions
For Anytime Touchdown Scorer bets, the top option from Indianapolis Colts is Jonathan Taylor (the player with the highest anytime touchdown probability on the team at 68.9%). He is followed by Tyler Warren, who also poses a strong scoring threat with a 28.5% chance.
On the Kansas City Chiefs side, Rashee Rice leads with the highest probability at 45.0% , while Isiah Pacheco follows closely at 40.8% .
For First Touchdown Scorer odds, our data again puts Jonathan Taylor (team-high 17.3% probability) as the most likely to score first for Indianapolis Colts. Over on the Kansas City Chiefs side, Rashee Rice ranks highest with a 8.5% chance to be the first touchdown scorer in the game.
Box Score Predictions
When box score data is available, we spotlight each team's leaders by projection. For Indianapolis Colts, Jonathan Taylor (highest projected rusher on Indianapolis Colts) is forecast for 80 rushing yards and 0.69 TDs , while Michael Pittman (highest projected receiver on Indianapolis Colts) is pegged for 53 receiving yards and 0.26 TDs .
On Kansas City Chiefs, Isiah Pacheco (highest projected rusher on Kansas City Chiefs) leads the ground game with 37 yards and 0.41 TDs , and Rashee Rice (highest projected receiver on Kansas City Chiefs) tops the passing attack with 63 yards and 0.45 TDs .
All stat lines are simulation-driven and update as new information becomes available.
Responsible betting
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