Chicago Bears vs Washington Commanders - NFL Prediction (2025-10-14)
Win probabilities
Predicted score
Fair odds (decimal)
Canadian Moneyline Odds
Anytime Touchdown Probability
- Rome Odunze WR36.6%
- D'Andre Swift RB36.2%
- DJ Moore WR29.5%
- Cole Kmet TE20.6%
- Kyle Monangai RB18.8%
- Colston Loveland TE15.7%
- Caleb Williams QB15.1%
- Luther Burden WR15.1%
- Olamide Zaccheaus WR14.9%
- Roschon Johnson RB6.0%
- Durham Smythe TE4.7%
- Devin Duvernay WR3.3%
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB45.8%
- Deebo Samuel WR38.3%
- Terry McLaurin WR35.5%
- Jayden Daniels QB34.5%
- Chris Rodriguez RB29.2%
- Zach Ertz TE27.1%
- Jeremy McNichols RB20.2%
- Noah Brown WR13.2%
- Luke McCaffrey WR13.0%
- Jaylin Lane WR10.4%
- Chris Moore WR10.2%
- John Bates TE6.2%
- Ben Sinnott TE5.6%
First Touchdown Probability
- Rome Odunze WR7.6%
- D'Andre Swift RB7.5%
- DJ Moore WR5.9%
- Cole Kmet TE3.9%
- Kyle Monangai RB3.5%
- Colston Loveland TE2.9%
- Caleb Williams QB2.7%
- Luther Burden WR2.7%
- Olamide Zaccheaus WR2.7%
- Roschon Johnson RB1.0%
- Durham Smythe TE0.8%
- Devin Duvernay WR0.6%
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB9.3%
- Deebo Samuel WR7.3%
- Terry McLaurin WR6.7%
- Jayden Daniels QB6.4%
- Chris Rodriguez RB5.3%
- Zach Ertz TE4.8%
- Jeremy McNichols RB3.4%
- Noah Brown WR2.1%
- Luke McCaffrey WR2.1%
- Jaylin Lane WR1.7%
- Chris Moore WR1.6%
- John Bates TE1.0%
- Ben Sinnott TE0.9%
Projected Chicago Bears Boxscore
Projected Washington Commanders Boxscore
Chicago Bears vs. Washington Commanders: Game Breakdown
Matchup details
- Teams: Chicago Bears vs. Washington Commanders
- Date: loading...
- Time: loading...
Betting insights
Spread: Chicago Bears favored at -4.93. Total: 49.89.
Game prediction summary
Chicago Bears and Washington Commanders face off on loading..., loading..., in a matchup that's drawn attention from bettors and fans alike.
We're projecting a final score of Chicago Bears 22 – 27 Washington Commanders, with win probabilities leaning 67% in favor of Washington Commanders. Current odds list the spread at -4.93, with the total set at 49.89.
Touchdown Scorer Predictions
For Anytime Touchdown Scorer bets, the top option from Chicago Bears is Rome Odunze (the player with the highest anytime touchdown probability on the team at 36.6%). He is followed by D'Andre Swift, who also poses a strong scoring threat with a 36.2% chance.
On the Washington Commanders side, Jacory Croskey-Merritt leads with the highest probability at 45.8% , while Deebo Samuel follows closely at 38.3% .
For First Touchdown Scorer odds, our data again puts Rome Odunze (team-high 7.6% probability) as the most likely to score first for Chicago Bears. Over on the Washington Commanders side, Jacory Croskey-Merritt ranks highest with a 9.3% chance to be the first touchdown scorer in the game.
Box Score Predictions
When box score data is available, we spotlight each team's leaders by projection. For Chicago Bears, D'Andre Swift (highest projected rusher on Chicago Bears) is forecast for 52 rushing yards and 0.37 TDs , while Rome Odunze (highest projected receiver on Chicago Bears) is pegged for 72 receiving yards and 0.37 TDs .
On Washington Commanders, Jacory Croskey-Merritt (highest projected rusher on Washington Commanders) leads the ground game with 61 yards and 0.46 TDs , and Deebo Samuel (highest projected receiver on Washington Commanders) tops the passing attack with 58 yards and 0.38 TDs .
All stat lines are simulation-driven and update as new information becomes available.
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