Buffalo Bills vs Atlanta Falcons - NFL Prediction (2025-10-13)

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Buffalo Bills
vs
Atlanta Falcons

Win probabilities

Buffalo Bills
63%
Atlanta Falcons
37%

Predicted score

27 - 23
Spread (Team 1 - Team 2): 3.71
Projected total: 49.58

Fair odds (decimal)

Buffalo Bills: 1.59
Atlanta Falcons: 2.70

Canadian Moneyline Odds

Buffalo Bills
-233
Atlanta Falcons
+183
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Anytime Touchdown Probability

Buffalo Bills
  • James Cook RB57.8%
  • Josh Allen QB46.1%
  • Keon Coleman WR31.3%
  • Khalil Shakir WR28.0%
  • Dalton Kincaid TE26.7%
  • Dawson Knox TE18.5%
  • Joshua Palmer WR16.9%
  • Ray Davis RB15.1%
  • Ty Johnson RB13.5%
  • Curtis Samuel WR11.7%
  • Elijah Moore WR10.6%
  • Jackson Hawes TE9.1%
Atlanta Falcons
  • Bijan Robinson RB55.9%
  • Drake London WR32.8%
  • Tyler Allgeier RB27.8%
  • Darnell Mooney WR24.5%
  • Kyle Pitts TE23.0%
  • Ray-Ray McCloud WR12.4%
  • Michael Penix QB11.8%
  • Casey Washington WR10.1%
  • Charlie Woerner TE5.1%
  • KhaDarel Hodge WR3.5%

First Touchdown Probability

Buffalo Bills
  • James Cook RB12.1%
  • Josh Allen QB8.7%
  • Keon Coleman WR5.3%
  • Khalil Shakir WR4.6%
  • Dalton Kincaid TE4.4%
  • Dawson Knox TE2.9%
  • Joshua Palmer WR2.6%
  • Ray Davis RB2.3%
  • Ty Johnson RB2.0%
  • Curtis Samuel WR1.7%
  • Elijah Moore WR1.6%
  • Jackson Hawes TE1.3%
Atlanta Falcons
  • Bijan Robinson RB14.0%
  • Drake London WR6.8%
  • Tyler Allgeier RB5.6%
  • Darnell Mooney WR4.8%
  • Kyle Pitts TE4.5%
  • Ray-Ray McCloud WR2.3%
  • Michael Penix QB2.2%
  • Casey Washington WR1.8%
  • Charlie Woerner TE0.9%
  • KhaDarel Hodge WR0.6%

Projected Buffalo Bills Boxscore

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Projected Atlanta Falcons Boxscore

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Buffalo Bills vs. Atlanta Falcons: Game Breakdown

Matchup details

  • Teams: Buffalo Bills vs. Atlanta Falcons
  • Date: loading...
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Betting insights

Spread: Atlanta Falcons favored at -3.71. Total: 49.58.

Game prediction summary

Buffalo Bills and Atlanta Falcons face off on loading..., loading..., in a matchup that's drawn attention from bettors and fans alike.

We're projecting a final score of Buffalo Bills 27 – 23 Atlanta Falcons, with win probabilities leaning 63% in favor of Buffalo Bills. Current odds list the spread at -3.71, with the total set at 49.58.

Touchdown Scorer Predictions

For Anytime Touchdown Scorer bets, the top option from Buffalo Bills is James Cook (the player with the highest anytime touchdown probability on the team at 57.8%). He is followed by Josh Allen, who also poses a strong scoring threat with a 46.1% chance.

On the Atlanta Falcons side, Bijan Robinson leads with the highest probability at 55.9% , while Drake London follows closely at 32.8% .

For First Touchdown Scorer odds, our data again puts James Cook (team-high 12.1% probability) as the most likely to score first for Buffalo Bills. Over on the Atlanta Falcons side, Bijan Robinson ranks highest with a 14.0% chance to be the first touchdown scorer in the game.

Box Score Predictions

When box score data is available, we spotlight each team's leaders by projection. For Buffalo Bills, James Cook (highest projected rusher on Buffalo Bills) is forecast for 77 rushing yards and 0.58 TDs , while Khalil Shakir (highest projected receiver on Buffalo Bills) is pegged for 52 receiving yards and 0.28 TDs .

On Atlanta Falcons, Bijan Robinson (highest projected rusher on Atlanta Falcons) leads the ground game with 80 yards and 0.56 TDs , and Drake London (highest projected receiver on Atlanta Falcons) tops the passing attack with 72 yards and 0.33 TDs .

All stat lines are simulation-driven and update as new information becomes available.

Responsible betting

Sports betting should always be fun - a form of entertainment, not a way to solve financial problems. If you're finding that betting is causing stress or impacting your budget, take a step back. Never wager more than you can afford to lose.

Your mental well-being matters. Chasing losses or trying to "win it all back" is a warning sign. If friends or family raise concerns, take them seriously - they're often the first to notice when something's wrong.

If betting no longer feels like a choice or if it's affecting your life in a negative way, help is available. Visit Gambling Therapy for free, confidential support. Their trained advisors are available 24/7, and you'll also find peer support groups to talk with others who understand what you're going through.

Bet smart. Stay in control. Your well-being comes first.

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