Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers - NFL Prediction (2025-12-12)

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Atlanta Falcons
vs
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Win probabilities

Atlanta Falcons
32%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
68%

Predicted score

20 - 25
Spread (Team 1 - Team 2): -4.64
Projected total: 44.55

Fair odds (decimal)

Atlanta Falcons: 3.13
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 1.47

Canadian Moneyline Odds

Atlanta Falcons
+200
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
-286
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Anytime Touchdown Probability

Atlanta Falcons
  • Bijan Robinson RB52.9%
  • Tyler Allgeier RB36.2%
  • Kyle Pitts TE27.3%
  • Darnell Mooney WR21.5%
  • David Sills WR18.6%
  • Dylan Drummond WR13.6%
  • Charlie Woerner TE5.9%
  • Kirk Cousins QB5.6%
  • Deven Thompkins WR5.2%
  • KhaDarel Hodge WR3.9%
  • Teagan Quitoriano TE2.9%
  • Jamal Agnew WR2.0%
  • Nathan Carter RB1.7%
  • Casey Washington WR0.2%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  • Bucky Irving RB38.2%
  • Mike Evans WR36.9%
  • Emeka Egbuka WR33.4%
  • Chris Godwin WR30.0%
  • Rachaad White RB20.5%
  • Payne Durham TE16.3%
  • Sean Tucker RB16.2%
  • Jalen McMillan WR12.8%
  • Baker Mayfield QB11.8%
  • Sterling Shepard WR9.6%
  • Tez Johnson WR9.3%
  • Devin Culp TE8.2%
  • Kameron Johnson WR2.4%

First Touchdown Probability

Atlanta Falcons
  • Bijan Robinson RB13.5%
  • Tyler Allgeier RB8.1%
  • Kyle Pitts TE5.7%
  • Darnell Mooney WR4.3%
  • David Sills WR3.7%
  • Dylan Drummond WR2.6%
  • Charlie Woerner TE1.1%
  • Kirk Cousins QB1.0%
  • Deven Thompkins WR1.0%
  • KhaDarel Hodge WR0.7%
  • Teagan Quitoriano TE0.5%
  • Jamal Agnew WR0.4%
  • Nathan Carter RB0.3%
  • Casey Washington WR0.0%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  • Bucky Irving RB8.9%
  • Mike Evans WR8.5%
  • Emeka Egbuka WR7.5%
  • Chris Godwin WR6.6%
  • Rachaad White RB4.2%
  • Payne Durham TE3.3%
  • Sean Tucker RB3.3%
  • Jalen McMillan WR2.5%
  • Baker Mayfield QB2.3%
  • Sterling Shepard WR1.9%
  • Tez Johnson WR1.8%
  • Devin Culp TE1.6%
  • Kameron Johnson WR0.4%

Projected Atlanta Falcons Boxscore

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Projected Tampa Bay Buccaneers Boxscore

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Atlanta Falcons vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Game Breakdown

Matchup details

  • Teams: Atlanta Falcons vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
  • Date: loading...
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Betting insights

Spread: Atlanta Falcons favored at -4.64. Total: 44.55.

Game prediction summary

Atlanta Falcons and Tampa Bay Buccaneers face off on loading..., loading..., in a matchup that's drawn attention from bettors and fans alike.

We're projecting a final score of Atlanta Falcons 20 – 25 Tampa Bay Buccaneers, with win probabilities leaning 68% in favor of Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Current odds list the spread at -4.64, with the total set at 44.55.

Touchdown Scorer Predictions

For Anytime Touchdown Scorer bets, the top option from Atlanta Falcons is Bijan Robinson (the player with the highest anytime touchdown probability on the team at 52.9%). He is followed by Tyler Allgeier, who also poses a strong scoring threat with a 36.2% chance.

On the Tampa Bay Buccaneers side, Bucky Irving leads with the highest probability at 38.2% , while Mike Evans follows closely at 36.9% .

For First Touchdown Scorer odds, our data again puts Bijan Robinson (team-high 13.5% probability) as the most likely to score first for Atlanta Falcons. Over on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers side, Bucky Irving ranks highest with a 8.9% chance to be the first touchdown scorer in the game.

Box Score Predictions

When box score data is available, we spotlight each team's leaders by projection. For Atlanta Falcons, Bijan Robinson (highest projected rusher on Atlanta Falcons) is forecast for 77 rushing yards and 0.53 TDs , while Kyle Pitts (highest projected receiver on Atlanta Falcons) is pegged for 60 receiving yards and 0.27 TDs .

On Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Bucky Irving (highest projected rusher on Tampa Bay Buccaneers) leads the ground game with 63 yards and 0.38 TDs , and Emeka Egbuka (highest projected receiver on Tampa Bay Buccaneers) tops the passing attack with 53 yards and 0.33 TDs .

All stat lines are simulation-driven and update as new information becomes available.

Responsible betting

Sports betting should always be fun - a form of entertainment, not a way to solve financial problems. If you're finding that betting is causing stress or impacting your budget, take a step back. Never wager more than you can afford to lose.

Your mental well-being matters. Chasing losses or trying to "win it all back" is a warning sign. If friends or family raise concerns, take them seriously - they're often the first to notice when something's wrong.

If betting no longer feels like a choice or if it's affecting your life in a negative way, help is available. Visit Gambling Therapy for free, confidential support. Their trained advisors are available 24/7, and you'll also find peer support groups to talk with others who understand what you're going through.

Bet smart. Stay in control. Your well-being comes first.

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