Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints - NFL Prediction (2025-11-23)

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Atlanta Falcons
vs
New Orleans Saints

Win probabilities

Atlanta Falcons
46%
New Orleans Saints
54%

Predicted score

19 - 20
Spread (Team 1 - Team 2): -0.93
Projected total: 39.81

Fair odds (decimal)

Atlanta Falcons: 2.17
New Orleans Saints: 1.85

Canadian Moneyline Odds

Atlanta Falcons
New Orleans Saints

Anytime Touchdown Probability

Atlanta Falcons
  • Bijan Robinson RB52.0%
  • Tyler Allgeier RB35.4%
  • Kyle Pitts TE26.2%
  • Darnell Mooney WR24.6%
  • KhaDarel Hodge WR14.8%
  • David Sills WR13.2%
  • Charlie Woerner TE7.8%
  • Kirk Cousins QB5.4%
  • Casey Washington WR4.7%
  • Jamal Agnew WR2.4%
New Orleans Saints
  • Chris Olave WR34.7%
  • Alvin Kamara RB31.0%
  • Juwan Johnson TE26.3%
  • Taysom Hill TE21.0%
  • Devaughn Vele WR20.5%
  • Devin Neal RB15.4%
  • Mason Tipton WR13.0%
  • Foster Moreau TE10.5%
  • Tyler Shough QB10.3%
  • Audric Estime RB2.9%
  • Jack Stoll TE2.8%

First Touchdown Probability

Atlanta Falcons
  • Bijan Robinson RB14.7%
  • Tyler Allgeier RB8.8%
  • Kyle Pitts TE6.1%
  • Darnell Mooney WR5.7%
  • KhaDarel Hodge WR3.2%
  • David Sills WR2.8%
  • Charlie Woerner TE1.6%
  • Kirk Cousins QB1.1%
  • Casey Washington WR1.0%
  • Jamal Agnew WR0.5%
New Orleans Saints
  • Chris Olave WR9.7%
  • Alvin Kamara RB8.4%
  • Juwan Johnson TE6.9%
  • Taysom Hill TE5.4%
  • Devaughn Vele WR5.2%
  • Devin Neal RB3.8%
  • Mason Tipton WR3.2%
  • Foster Moreau TE2.5%
  • Tyler Shough QB2.5%
  • Audric Estime RB0.7%
  • Jack Stoll TE0.7%

Projected Atlanta Falcons Boxscore

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Projected New Orleans Saints Boxscore

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Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints: Game Breakdown

Matchup details

  • Teams: Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints
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Betting insights

Spread: Atlanta Falcons favored at -0.93. Total: 39.81.

Game prediction summary

Atlanta Falcons and New Orleans Saints face off on loading..., loading..., in a matchup that's drawn attention from bettors and fans alike.

We're projecting a final score of Atlanta Falcons 19 – 20 New Orleans Saints, with win probabilities leaning 54% in favor of New Orleans Saints. Current odds list the spread at -0.93, with the total set at 39.81.

Touchdown Scorer Predictions

For Anytime Touchdown Scorer bets, the top option from Atlanta Falcons is Bijan Robinson (the player with the highest anytime touchdown probability on the team at 52.0%). He is followed by Tyler Allgeier, who also poses a strong scoring threat with a 35.4% chance.

On the New Orleans Saints side, Chris Olave leads with the highest probability at 34.7% , while Alvin Kamara follows closely at 31.0% .

For First Touchdown Scorer odds, our data again puts Bijan Robinson (team-high 14.7% probability) as the most likely to score first for Atlanta Falcons. Over on the New Orleans Saints side, Chris Olave ranks highest with a 9.7% chance to be the first touchdown scorer in the game.

Box Score Predictions

When box score data is available, we spotlight each team's leaders by projection. For Atlanta Falcons, Bijan Robinson (highest projected rusher on Atlanta Falcons) is forecast for 84 rushing yards and 0.52 TDs , while Darnell Mooney (highest projected receiver on Atlanta Falcons) is pegged for 53 receiving yards and 0.25 TDs .

On New Orleans Saints, Alvin Kamara (highest projected rusher on New Orleans Saints) leads the ground game with 59 yards and 0.31 TDs , and Chris Olave (highest projected receiver on New Orleans Saints) tops the passing attack with 72 yards and 0.35 TDs .

All stat lines are simulation-driven and update as new information becomes available.

Responsible betting

Sports betting should always be fun - a form of entertainment, not a way to solve financial problems. If you're finding that betting is causing stress or impacting your budget, take a step back. Never wager more than you can afford to lose.

Your mental well-being matters. Chasing losses or trying to "win it all back" is a warning sign. If friends or family raise concerns, take them seriously - they're often the first to notice when something's wrong.

If betting no longer feels like a choice or if it's affecting your life in a negative way, help is available. Visit Gambling Therapy for free, confidential support. Their trained advisors are available 24/7, and you'll also find peer support groups to talk with others who understand what you're going through.

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