New England Patriots vs Cincinnati Bengals - NFL Prediction (2025-11-23)

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New England Patriots
vs
Cincinnati Bengals

Win probabilities

New England Patriots
71%
Cincinnati Bengals
29%

Predicted score

28 - 22
Spread (Team 1 - Team 2): 6.26
Projected total: 49.56

Fair odds (decimal)

New England Patriots: 1.41
Cincinnati Bengals: 3.45

Canadian Moneyline Odds

New England Patriots
-385
Cincinnati Bengals
+290
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Anytime Touchdown Probability

New England Patriots
  • TreVeyon Henderson RB53.6%
  • Rhamondre Stevenson RB46.1%
  • Stefon Diggs WR39.6%
  • Hunter Henry TE35.0%
  • Drake Maye QB27.1%
  • Kayshon Boutte WR25.3%
  • Mack Hollins WR24.2%
  • DeMario Douglas WR17.2%
  • Terrell Jennings RB15.8%
  • Austin Hooper TE13.0%
  • Kyle Williams WR8.8%
  • Efton Chism WR4.0%
  • D'Ernest Johnson RB0.4%
Cincinnati Bengals
  • Chase Brown RB47.2%
  • Tee Higgins WR45.7%
  • Andrei Iosivas WR26.7%
  • Noah Fant TE19.7%
  • Mitchell Tinsley WR18.9%
  • Mike Gesicki TE14.0%
  • Tanner Hudson TE10.6%
  • Tahj Brooks RB8.9%
  • Drew Sample TE6.0%
  • Joe Flacco QB5.4%
  • Jermaine Burton WR5.3%
  • Charlie Jones WR5.0%
  • Cam Grandy TE4.1%

First Touchdown Probability

New England Patriots
  • TreVeyon Henderson RB10.6%
  • Rhamondre Stevenson RB8.5%
  • Stefon Diggs WR7.0%
  • Hunter Henry TE5.9%
  • Drake Maye QB4.4%
  • Kayshon Boutte WR4.0%
  • Mack Hollins WR3.8%
  • DeMario Douglas WR2.6%
  • Terrell Jennings RB2.4%
  • Austin Hooper TE1.9%
  • Kyle Williams WR1.3%
  • Efton Chism WR0.6%
  • D'Ernest Johnson RB0.1%
Cincinnati Bengals
  • Chase Brown RB9.6%
  • Tee Higgins WR9.1%
  • Andrei Iosivas WR4.6%
  • Noah Fant TE3.3%
  • Mitchell Tinsley WR3.1%
  • Mike Gesicki TE2.3%
  • Tanner Hudson TE1.7%
  • Tahj Brooks RB1.4%
  • Drew Sample TE0.9%
  • Joe Flacco QB0.8%
  • Jermaine Burton WR0.8%
  • Charlie Jones WR0.8%
  • Cam Grandy TE0.6%

Projected New England Patriots Boxscore

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Projected Cincinnati Bengals Boxscore

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New England Patriots vs. Cincinnati Bengals: Game Breakdown

Matchup details

  • Teams: New England Patriots vs. Cincinnati Bengals
  • Date: loading...
  • Time: loading...

Betting insights

Spread: Cincinnati Bengals favored at -6.26. Total: 49.56.

Game prediction summary

New England Patriots and Cincinnati Bengals face off on loading..., loading..., in a matchup that's drawn attention from bettors and fans alike.

We're projecting a final score of New England Patriots 28 – 22 Cincinnati Bengals, with win probabilities leaning 71% in favor of New England Patriots. Current odds list the spread at -6.26, with the total set at 49.56.

Touchdown Scorer Predictions

For Anytime Touchdown Scorer bets, the top option from New England Patriots is TreVeyon Henderson (the player with the highest anytime touchdown probability on the team at 53.6%). He is followed by Rhamondre Stevenson, who also poses a strong scoring threat with a 46.1% chance.

On the Cincinnati Bengals side, Chase Brown leads with the highest probability at 47.2% , while Tee Higgins follows closely at 45.7% .

For First Touchdown Scorer odds, our data again puts TreVeyon Henderson (team-high 10.6% probability) as the most likely to score first for New England Patriots. Over on the Cincinnati Bengals side, Chase Brown ranks highest with a 9.6% chance to be the first touchdown scorer in the game.

Box Score Predictions

When box score data is available, we spotlight each team's leaders by projection. For New England Patriots, TreVeyon Henderson (highest projected rusher on New England Patriots) is forecast for 55 rushing yards and 0.54 TDs , while Stefon Diggs (highest projected receiver on New England Patriots) is pegged for 61 receiving yards and 0.40 TDs .

On Cincinnati Bengals, Chase Brown (highest projected rusher on Cincinnati Bengals) leads the ground game with 68 yards and 0.47 TDs , and Tee Higgins (highest projected receiver on Cincinnati Bengals) tops the passing attack with 72 yards and 0.46 TDs .

All stat lines are simulation-driven and update as new information becomes available.

Responsible betting

Sports betting should always be fun - a form of entertainment, not a way to solve financial problems. If you're finding that betting is causing stress or impacting your budget, take a step back. Never wager more than you can afford to lose.

Your mental well-being matters. Chasing losses or trying to "win it all back" is a warning sign. If friends or family raise concerns, take them seriously - they're often the first to notice when something's wrong.

If betting no longer feels like a choice or if it's affecting your life in a negative way, help is available. Visit Gambling Therapy for free, confidential support. Their trained advisors are available 24/7, and you'll also find peer support groups to talk with others who understand what you're going through.

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