Kansas City Chiefs vs New York Giants - NFL Prediction (2025-09-22)
Win probabilities
Kansas City Chiefs New York GiantsPredicted score
Fair odds (decimal)
Canadian Moneyline Odds
Anytime Touchdown Probability
Kansas City Chiefs- Xavier Worthy WR37.8%
- Kareem Hunt RB35.4%
- Travis Kelce TE33.1%
- Isiah Pacheco RB32.0%
- Hollywood Brown WR31.3%
- Patrick Mahomes QB19.1%
- Tyquan Thornton WR18.5%
- JuJu Smith-Schuster WR15.9%
- Noah Gray TE14.3%
- Jalen Royals WR11.8%
- Brashard Smith RB8.2%
- Jason Brownlee WR5.7%
- Jared Wiley TE4.0%
- Nikko Remigio WR3.8%
New York Giants- Malik Nabers WR40.3%
- Cam Skattebo RB37.2%
- Wan'Dale Robinson WR29.2%
- Tyrone Tracy RB28.1%
- Darius Slayton WR17.4%
- Theo Johnson TE16.2%
- Russell Wilson QB12.0%
- Devin Singletary RB7.3%
- Daniel Bellinger TE6.5%
- Chris Manhertz TE3.5%
- Jalin Hyatt WR3.4%
First Touchdown Probability
Kansas City Chiefs- Xavier Worthy WR7.8%
- Kareem Hunt RB7.2%
- Travis Kelce TE6.6%
- Isiah Pacheco RB6.4%
- Hollywood Brown WR6.2%
- Patrick Mahomes QB3.5%
- Tyquan Thornton WR3.4%
- JuJu Smith-Schuster WR2.9%
- Noah Gray TE2.5%
- Jalen Royals WR2.1%
- Brashard Smith RB1.4%
- Jason Brownlee WR1.0%
- Jared Wiley TE0.7%
- Nikko Remigio WR0.6%
New York Giants- Malik Nabers WR8.8%
- Cam Skattebo RB7.9%
- Wan'Dale Robinson WR5.9%
- Tyrone Tracy RB5.6%
- Darius Slayton WR3.3%
- Theo Johnson TE3.0%
- Russell Wilson QB2.2%
- Devin Singletary RB1.3%
- Daniel Bellinger TE1.2%
- Chris Manhertz TE0.6%
- Jalin Hyatt WR0.6%
Projected Kansas City Chiefs Boxscore
Projected New York Giants Boxscore
Kansas City Chiefs vs. New York Giants: Game Breakdown
Matchup details
- Teams: Kansas City Chiefs vs. New York Giants
- Date: loading...
- Time: loading...
Betting insights
Spread: New York Giants favored at -4.48. Total: 44.33.
Game prediction summary
Kansas City Chiefs and New York Giants face off on loading..., loading..., in a matchup that's drawn attention from bettors and fans alike.
We're projecting a final score of Kansas City Chiefs 24 – 20 New York Giants, with win probabilities leaning 67% in favor of Kansas City Chiefs. Current odds list the spread at -4.48, with the total set at 44.33.
Touchdown Scorer Predictions
For Anytime Touchdown Scorer bets, the top option from Kansas City Chiefs is Xavier Worthy (the player with the highest anytime touchdown probability on the team at 37.8%). He is followed by Kareem Hunt, who also poses a strong scoring threat with a 35.4% chance.
On the New York Giants side, Malik Nabers leads with the highest probability at 40.3% , while Cam Skattebo follows closely at 37.2% .
For First Touchdown Scorer odds, our data again puts Xavier Worthy (team-high 7.8% probability) as the most likely to score first for Kansas City Chiefs. Over on the New York Giants side, Malik Nabers ranks highest with a 8.8% chance to be the first touchdown scorer in the game.
Box Score Predictions
When box score data is available, we spotlight each team's leaders by projection. For Kansas City Chiefs, Isiah Pacheco (highest projected rusher on Kansas City Chiefs) is forecast for 41 rushing yards and 0.32 TDs , while Xavier Worthy (highest projected receiver on Kansas City Chiefs) is pegged for 53 receiving yards and 0.38 TDs .
On New York Giants, Cam Skattebo (highest projected rusher on New York Giants) leads the ground game with 39 yards and 0.37 TDs , and Malik Nabers (highest projected receiver on New York Giants) tops the passing attack with 81 yards and 0.40 TDs .
All stat lines are simulation-driven and update as new information becomes available.
Responsible betting
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