Las Vegas Raiders vs Washington Commanders - NFL Prediction (2025-09-21)
Win probabilities
Predicted score
Fair odds (decimal)
Canadian Moneyline Odds
Anytime Touchdown Probability
- Ashton Jeanty RB47.8%
- Brock Bowers TE33.0%
- Jakobi Meyers WR29.5%
- Dont'e Thornton WR17.6%
- Michael Mayer TE16.6%
- Tre Tucker WR16.4%
- Geno Smith QB10.7%
- Jack Bech WR9.4%
- Zamir White RB9.3%
- Ian Thomas TE4.1%
- Raheem Mostert RB3.2%
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB43.2%
- Deebo Samuel WR37.1%
- Terry McLaurin WR36.7%
- Jayden Daniels QB35.3%
- Zach Ertz TE26.5%
- Jeremy McNichols RB19.4%
- Noah Brown WR13.9%
- Chris Rodriguez RB13.1%
- Jaylin Lane WR12.5%
- Luke McCaffrey WR6.8%
- Ben Sinnott TE4.0%
- John Bates TE2.5%
First Touchdown Probability
- Ashton Jeanty RB12.7%
- Brock Bowers TE7.8%
- Jakobi Meyers WR6.8%
- Dont'e Thornton WR3.8%
- Michael Mayer TE3.5%
- Tre Tucker WR3.5%
- Geno Smith QB2.2%
- Jack Bech WR1.9%
- Zamir White RB1.9%
- Ian Thomas TE0.8%
- Raheem Mostert RB0.6%
- Jacory Croskey-Merritt RB9.7%
- Deebo Samuel WR7.9%
- Terry McLaurin WR7.8%
- Jayden Daniels QB7.4%
- Zach Ertz TE5.3%
- Jeremy McNichols RB3.7%
- Noah Brown WR2.6%
- Chris Rodriguez RB2.4%
- Jaylin Lane WR2.3%
- Luke McCaffrey WR1.2%
- Ben Sinnott TE0.7%
- John Bates TE0.4%
Projected Las Vegas Raiders Boxscore
Projected Washington Commanders Boxscore
Las Vegas Raiders vs. Washington Commanders: Game Breakdown
Matchup details
- Teams: Las Vegas Raiders vs. Washington Commanders
- Date: loading...
- Time: loading...
Betting insights
Spread: Las Vegas Raiders favored at -3.37. Total: 45.19.
Game prediction summary
Las Vegas Raiders and Washington Commanders face off on loading..., loading..., in a matchup that's drawn attention from bettors and fans alike.
We're projecting a final score of Las Vegas Raiders 21 – 24 Washington Commanders, with win probabilities leaning 63% in favor of Washington Commanders. Current odds list the spread at -3.37, with the total set at 45.19.
Touchdown Scorer Predictions
For Anytime Touchdown Scorer bets, the top option from Las Vegas Raiders is Ashton Jeanty (the player with the highest anytime touchdown probability on the team at 47.8%). He is followed by Brock Bowers, who also poses a strong scoring threat with a 33.0% chance.
On the Washington Commanders side, Jacory Croskey-Merritt leads with the highest probability at 43.2% , while Deebo Samuel follows closely at 37.1% .
For First Touchdown Scorer odds, our data again puts Ashton Jeanty (team-high 12.7% probability) as the most likely to score first for Las Vegas Raiders. Over on the Washington Commanders side, Jacory Croskey-Merritt ranks highest with a 9.7% chance to be the first touchdown scorer in the game.
Box Score Predictions
When box score data is available, we spotlight each team's leaders by projection. For Las Vegas Raiders, Ashton Jeanty (highest projected rusher on Las Vegas Raiders) is forecast for 67 rushing yards and 0.48 TDs , while Jakobi Meyers (highest projected receiver on Las Vegas Raiders) is pegged for 69 receiving yards and 0.30 TDs .
On Washington Commanders, Jacory Croskey-Merritt (highest projected rusher on Washington Commanders) leads the ground game with 63 yards and 0.43 TDs , and Terry McLaurin (highest projected receiver on Washington Commanders) tops the passing attack with 61 yards and 0.37 TDs .
All stat lines are simulation-driven and update as new information becomes available.
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